Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Sanrin Co., Ltd. (TYO:7486) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Sanrin
What Is Sanrin's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Sanrin had JP¥3.44b of debt, an increase on JP¥2.92b, over one year. But on the other hand it also has JP¥6.33b in cash, leading to a JP¥2.88b net cash position.
How Strong Is Sanrin's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Sanrin had liabilities of JP¥5.88b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥2.02b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥6.33b as well as receivables valued at JP¥3.79b due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥2.22b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity suggests that Sanrin is taking a careful approach to debt. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Sanrin boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Also good is that Sanrin grew its EBIT at 14% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Sanrin will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Sanrin has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Sanrin's free cash flow amounted to 39% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Sanrin has net cash of JP¥2.88b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it also grew its EBIT by 14% over the last year. So is Sanrin's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Sanrin you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:7486
Sanrin
Manufactures and sells briquette, bean coal, petroleum, LP gas, and other fuel products in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.