Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc.

TSE:8593 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.5t

Mitsubishi HC Capital Valuation

Is 8593 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8593 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8593 (¥1028) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1428.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8593 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8593?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

8593 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19.1x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8593's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8593 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.1x
8421 Shinkin Central Bank
92.1xn/aJP¥1.7t
8439 Tokyo Century
10.6x8.5%JP¥766.6b
8424 Fuyo General Lease
8.6x4.4%JP¥411.9b
7164 ZENKOKU HOSHOLtd
13.2x5.3%JP¥385.9b
8593 Mitsubishi HC Capital
13.3x10.3%JP¥1.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8593 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the peer average (31.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8593's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.1%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.1%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8593 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the JP Diversified Financial industry average (13.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8593's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8593 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.3x
Fair PE Ratio19.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8593 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8593 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,028.00
JP¥1,050.00
+2.1%
5.7%JP¥1,110.00JP¥990.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥1,026.00
JP¥1,050.00
+2.3%
5.7%JP¥1,110.00JP¥990.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥1,053.00
JP¥1,050.00
-0.3%
5.7%JP¥1,110.00JP¥990.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥1,047.00
JP¥1,050.00
+0.3%
5.7%JP¥1,110.00JP¥990.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥946.80
JP¥1,050.00
+10.9%
5.7%JP¥1,110.00JP¥990.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥972.50
JP¥975.00
+0.3%
1.5%JP¥990.00JP¥960.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥1,004.50
JP¥975.00
-2.9%
1.5%JP¥990.00JP¥960.00n/a2
Oct ’24JP¥996.00
JP¥975.00
-2.1%
1.5%JP¥990.00JP¥960.00n/a2
Sep ’24JP¥960.80
JP¥975.00
+1.5%
1.5%JP¥990.00JP¥960.00n/a2
Aug ’24JP¥942.40
JP¥975.00
+3.5%
1.5%JP¥990.00JP¥960.00n/a2
Jul ’24JP¥854.50
JP¥975.00
+14.1%
1.5%JP¥990.00JP¥960.00n/a2
May ’24JP¥709.00
JP¥750.00
+5.8%
2.7%JP¥770.00JP¥730.00JP¥1,028.502
Apr ’24JP¥684.00
JP¥750.00
+9.6%
2.7%JP¥770.00JP¥730.00JP¥1,026.002
Mar ’24JP¥714.00
JP¥750.00
+5.0%
2.7%JP¥770.00JP¥730.00JP¥1,053.002
Feb ’24JP¥661.00
JP¥705.00
+6.7%
3.5%JP¥730.00JP¥680.00JP¥1,047.002
Jan ’24JP¥649.00
JP¥730.00
+12.5%
5.6%JP¥780.00JP¥680.00JP¥946.803
Dec ’23JP¥644.00
JP¥725.00
+12.6%
5.0%JP¥780.00JP¥680.00JP¥972.504
Nov ’23JP¥635.00
JP¥725.00
+14.2%
5.0%JP¥780.00JP¥680.00JP¥1,004.504
Oct ’23JP¥622.00
JP¥725.00
+16.6%
5.0%JP¥780.00JP¥680.00JP¥996.004
Sep ’23JP¥672.00
JP¥725.00
+7.9%
5.0%JP¥780.00JP¥680.00JP¥960.804
Aug ’23JP¥646.00
JP¥725.00
+12.2%
5.0%JP¥780.00JP¥680.00JP¥942.404
Jul ’23JP¥618.00
JP¥725.00
+17.3%
5.0%JP¥780.00JP¥680.00JP¥854.504
Jun ’23JP¥621.00
JP¥715.00
+15.1%
3.2%JP¥740.00JP¥680.00JP¥765.004
May ’23JP¥585.00
JP¥690.00
+17.9%
6.6%JP¥740.00JP¥640.00JP¥709.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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