Orient Valuation

Is 8585 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8585 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8585 (¥834) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1513.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8585 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8585?

Key metric: As 8585 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8585. This is calculated by dividing 8585's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8585's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.1x
EarningsJP¥6.18b
Market CapJP¥142.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8585's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8585 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.5x
8584 JACCS
5.8x-5.0%JP¥132.5b
8515 Aiful
7x13.3%JP¥156.1b
8570 AEON Financial Service
11.5x14.1%JP¥268.5b
7199 Premium Group
17.9x19.4%JP¥95.8b
8585 Orient
23.1x21.4%JP¥142.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8585 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the peer average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8585's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Finance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8585 23.1xIndustry Avg. 14.2xNo. of Companies24PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8585 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the Asian Consumer Finance industry average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8585's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8585 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.1x
Fair PE Ratio14.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8585 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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