Stock Analysis

AEON Financial Service's (TSE:8570) Dividend Will Be ¥28.00

Published
TSE:8570

The board of AEON Financial Service Co., Ltd. (TSE:8570) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 9th of May, with investors receiving ¥28.00 per share. This makes the dividend yield 4.4%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

Check out our latest analysis for AEON Financial Service

AEON Financial Service's Payment Expected To Have Solid Earnings Coverage

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained.

Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, AEON Financial Service has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but AEON Financial Service's payout ratio of 44% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 14.8%. If the dividend continues on this path, the future payout ratio could be 37% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

TSE:8570 Historic Dividend January 16th 2025

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥70.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥53.00. This works out to be a decline of approximately 2.7% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

AEON Financial Service May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's not great to see that AEON Financial Service's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 4.2% per year over the past five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

In Summary

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments AEON Financial Service has been making. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for AEON Financial Service that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.