Stock Analysis

AEON Financial Service (TSE:8570) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥25.00

TSE:8570
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AEON Financial Service Co., Ltd. (TSE:8570) will pay a dividend of ¥25.00 on the 14th of November. The dividend yield will be 4.0% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for AEON Financial Service

AEON Financial Service's Payment Expected To Have Solid Earnings Coverage

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained.

Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, AEON Financial Service has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but AEON Financial Service's payout ratio of 73% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 16.8%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the future payout ratio will be 55%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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TSE:8570 Historic Dividend July 22nd 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥70.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥53.00. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 2.7% per year. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. AEON Financial Service's EPS has fallen by approximately 17% per year during the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

In Summary

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The company hasn't been paying a very consistent dividend over time, despite only paying out a small portion of earnings. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for AEON Financial Service that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.