Marui Group Valuation

Is 8252 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8252 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8252 (¥2388) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥2005.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8252 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8252?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

8252 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA21.8x
PEG Ratio2.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8252's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8252 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12x
8253 Credit Saison
8.1x-3.3%JP¥486.3b
8572 Acom
12.1x10.1%JP¥633.1b
8570 AEON Financial Service
16.4x16.8%JP¥281.6b
8515 Aiful
11.2x16.9%JP¥223.5b
8252 Marui Group
21.8x10.4%JP¥448.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8252 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the peer average (12x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8252's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Finance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8252 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the Asian Consumer Finance industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8252's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8252 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.8x
Fair PE Ratio17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8252 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8252 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,388.00
JP¥2,628.57
+10.1%
4.8%JP¥2,850.00JP¥2,500.00n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥2,462.50
JP¥2,642.86
+7.3%
4.3%JP¥2,850.00JP¥2,500.00n/a7
Mar ’25JP¥2,449.00
JP¥2,642.86
+7.9%
4.3%JP¥2,850.00JP¥2,500.00n/a7
Feb ’25JP¥2,447.00
JP¥2,628.57
+7.4%
4.3%JP¥2,850.00JP¥2,500.00n/a7
Jan ’25JP¥2,364.50
JP¥2,657.14
+12.4%
4.8%JP¥2,850.00JP¥2,500.00n/a7
Dec ’24JP¥2,365.50
JP¥2,678.57
+13.2%
5.1%JP¥2,850.00JP¥2,500.00n/a7
Nov ’24JP¥2,392.50
JP¥2,700.00
+12.9%
6.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,500.00n/a7
Oct ’24JP¥2,430.00
JP¥2,700.00
+11.1%
6.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,500.00n/a7
Sep ’24JP¥2,563.50
JP¥2,721.43
+6.2%
6.5%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,500.00n/a7
Aug ’24JP¥2,557.50
JP¥2,664.29
+4.2%
10.4%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,100.00n/a7
Jul ’24JP¥2,508.00
JP¥2,635.71
+5.1%
10.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,100.00n/a7
Jun ’24JP¥2,418.00
JP¥2,521.43
+4.3%
10.4%JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,100.00n/a7
May ’24JP¥2,181.00
JP¥2,450.00
+12.3%
7.5%JP¥2,650.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,411.007
Apr ’24JP¥2,023.00
JP¥2,450.00
+21.1%
7.5%JP¥2,650.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,462.507
Mar ’24JP¥2,057.00
JP¥2,578.57
+25.4%
12.4%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,449.007
Feb ’24JP¥2,171.00
JP¥2,707.14
+24.7%
11.7%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,447.007
Jan ’24JP¥2,181.00
JP¥2,707.14
+24.1%
11.7%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,364.507
Dec ’23JP¥2,320.00
JP¥2,707.14
+16.7%
11.7%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,365.507
Nov ’23JP¥2,449.00
JP¥2,721.43
+11.1%
10.8%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,392.507
Oct ’23JP¥2,398.00
JP¥2,678.57
+11.7%
9.6%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,430.007
Sep ’23JP¥2,487.00
JP¥2,664.29
+7.1%
9.2%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,563.507
Aug ’23JP¥2,468.00
JP¥2,664.29
+8.0%
9.2%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,557.507
Jul ’23JP¥2,379.00
JP¥2,635.71
+10.8%
9.1%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,508.007
Jun ’23JP¥2,452.00
JP¥2,557.14
+4.3%
9.5%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,418.007
May ’23JP¥2,243.00
JP¥2,542.86
+13.4%
8.9%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,181.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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