Saizeriya Co.,Ltd.

TSE:7581 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥307.9b

SaizeriyaLtd Valuation

Is 7581 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of 7581 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: 7581 (¥6270) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (¥3543.25)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: 7581 is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7581?

Key metric: As 7581 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7581. This is calculated by dividing 7581's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7581's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.5x
EarningsJP¥11.60b
Market CapJP¥307.91b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7581's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7581 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average54.3x
3387 create restaurants holdings
61.2x4.31%JP¥316.2b
3397 TORIDOLL Holdings
79.4x33.67%JP¥369.2b
9861 Yoshinoya Holdings
51.7x12.55%JP¥197.5b
3097 Monogatari
24.8x10.59%JP¥167.6b
7581 SaizeriyaLtd
26.5x12.70%JP¥307.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7581 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the peer average (54.3x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7581's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5534 Angel Group
2.9xn/aUS$22.19m
No more companies available in this PE range
7581 26.5xIndustry Avg. 24.6xNo. of Companies17PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7581 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (24.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7581's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7581 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.5x
Fair PE Ratio27.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7581 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7581 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥6,270.00
JP¥6,730.00
+7.34%
10.25%JP¥7,900.00JP¥5,400.00n/a10
Jan ’27JP¥5,480.00
JP¥6,600.00
+20.44%
11.65%JP¥7,900.00JP¥5,400.00n/a9
Dec ’26JP¥5,610.00
JP¥6,600.00
+17.65%
11.65%JP¥7,900.00JP¥5,400.00n/a9
Nov ’26JP¥5,040.00
JP¥6,444.44
+27.87%
12.31%JP¥7,900.00JP¥5,400.00n/a9
Oct ’26JP¥4,905.00
JP¥6,011.11
+22.55%
14.13%JP¥7,100.00JP¥4,600.00n/a9
Sep ’26JP¥5,230.00
JP¥6,011.11
+14.94%
14.13%JP¥7,100.00JP¥4,600.00n/a9
Aug ’26JP¥5,360.00
JP¥6,130.00
+14.37%
14.59%JP¥7,200.00JP¥4,600.00n/a10
Jul ’26JP¥4,910.00
JP¥5,970.00
+21.59%
13.19%JP¥7,200.00JP¥4,600.00n/a10
Jun ’26JP¥5,000.00
JP¥5,970.00
+19.40%
13.19%JP¥7,200.00JP¥4,600.00n/a10
May ’26JP¥4,700.00
JP¥6,000.00
+27.66%
13.80%JP¥7,300.00JP¥4,600.00n/a10
Apr ’26JP¥4,190.00
JP¥6,440.00
+53.70%
7.92%JP¥7,300.00JP¥5,500.00n/a10
Mar ’26JP¥4,290.00
JP¥6,440.00
+50.12%
7.92%JP¥7,300.00JP¥5,500.00n/a10
Feb ’26JP¥4,655.00
JP¥6,560.00
+40.92%
8.47%JP¥7,300.00JP¥5,500.00n/a10
Jan ’26JP¥5,350.00
JP¥6,950.00
+29.91%
9.17%JP¥7,800.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥5,480.0010
Dec ’25JP¥5,270.00
JP¥6,912.50
+31.17%
8.90%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥5,610.008
Nov ’25JP¥5,560.00
JP¥6,912.50
+24.33%
8.90%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥5,040.008
Oct ’25JP¥5,810.00
JP¥7,025.00
+20.91%
10.38%JP¥8,100.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,905.008
Sep ’25JP¥5,090.00
JP¥7,242.86
+42.30%
6.59%JP¥8,100.00JP¥6,700.00JP¥5,230.007
Aug ’25JP¥5,890.00
JP¥7,242.86
+22.97%
6.59%JP¥8,100.00JP¥6,700.00JP¥5,360.007
Jul ’25JP¥5,560.00
JP¥6,785.71
+22.05%
5.19%JP¥7,400.00JP¥6,400.00JP¥4,910.007
Jun ’25JP¥5,150.00
JP¥6,785.71
+31.76%
5.19%JP¥7,400.00JP¥6,400.00JP¥5,000.007
May ’25JP¥5,080.00
JP¥6,785.71
+33.58%
5.19%JP¥7,400.00JP¥6,400.00JP¥4,700.007
Apr ’25JP¥5,390.00
JP¥6,466.67
+19.98%
4.43%JP¥7,000.00JP¥6,100.00JP¥4,190.006
Mar ’25JP¥4,880.00
JP¥6,457.14
+32.32%
4.13%JP¥7,000.00JP¥6,100.00JP¥4,290.007
Feb ’25JP¥5,080.00
JP¥6,366.67
+25.33%
2.51%JP¥6,600.00JP¥6,100.00JP¥4,655.006
Jan ’25JP¥5,030.00
JP¥6,200.00
+23.26%
8.60%JP¥6,600.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥5,350.005
JP¥6.73k
Fair Value
6.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/24 21:24
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/23 00:00
Earnings2025/11/30
Annual Earnings2025/08/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Saizeriya Co.,Ltd. is covered by 16 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ya JiangCitic Securities Co., Ltd.
Shuhei ObaCitigroup Inc
Kazunori TsudaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.