Saizeriya Co.,Ltd.

TSE:7581 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥253.4b

SaizeriyaLtd Valuation

Is 7581 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7581 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7581 (¥5220) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥6278.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7581 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7581?

Key metric: As 7581 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7581. This is calculated by dividing 7581's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7581's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.5x
EarningsJP¥8.15b
Market CapJP¥253.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7581's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7581 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average87.2x
3387 create restaurants holdings
47.2x21.0%JP¥245.9b
3397 TORIDOLL Holdings
74.4x38.1%JP¥308.9b
7616 ColowideLtd
186.3xn/aJP¥179.9b
9861 Yoshinoya Holdings
41x1.4%JP¥202.2b
7581 SaizeriyaLtd
31.5x14.2%JP¥253.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7581 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.5x) compared to the peer average (87.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7581's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7625 Global-Dining
3.8xn/aUS$23.83m
5534 Angel Group
2.9xn/aUS$22.19m
No more companies available in this PE range
7581 31.5xIndustry Avg. 21.6xNo. of Companies18PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7581 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.5x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7581's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7581 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.5x
Fair PE Ratio27.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7581 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7581 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥5,220.00
JP¥6,912.50
+32.4%
8.9%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,500.00n/a8
Nov ’25JP¥5,560.00
JP¥6,912.50
+24.3%
8.9%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,500.00n/a8
Oct ’25JP¥5,810.00
JP¥7,025.00
+20.9%
10.4%JP¥8,100.00JP¥5,500.00n/a8
Sep ’25JP¥5,090.00
JP¥7,242.86
+42.3%
6.6%JP¥8,100.00JP¥6,700.00n/a7
Aug ’25JP¥5,890.00
JP¥7,242.86
+23.0%
6.6%JP¥8,100.00JP¥6,700.00n/a7
Jul ’25JP¥5,560.00
JP¥6,785.71
+22.0%
5.2%JP¥7,400.00JP¥6,400.00n/a7
Jun ’25JP¥5,150.00
JP¥6,785.71
+31.8%
5.2%JP¥7,400.00JP¥6,400.00n/a7
May ’25JP¥5,080.00
JP¥6,785.71
+33.6%
5.2%JP¥7,400.00JP¥6,400.00n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥5,390.00
JP¥6,466.67
+20.0%
4.4%JP¥7,000.00JP¥6,100.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥4,880.00
JP¥6,457.14
+32.3%
4.1%JP¥7,000.00JP¥6,100.00n/a7
Feb ’25JP¥5,080.00
JP¥6,366.67
+25.3%
2.5%JP¥6,600.00JP¥6,100.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥5,030.00
JP¥6,200.00
+23.3%
8.6%JP¥6,600.00JP¥5,200.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥5,810.00
JP¥6,333.33
+9.0%
9.0%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,200.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥6,280.00
JP¥6,233.33
-0.7%
10.4%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥5,560.006
Oct ’24JP¥4,850.00
JP¥4,766.67
-1.7%
11.1%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,700.00JP¥5,810.006
Sep ’24JP¥4,575.00
JP¥4,583.33
+0.2%
13.1%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,700.00JP¥5,090.006
Aug ’24JP¥4,530.00
JP¥4,583.33
+1.2%
13.1%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,700.00JP¥5,890.006
Jul ’24JP¥3,655.00
JP¥3,566.67
-2.4%
9.7%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥5,560.006
Jun ’24JP¥3,445.00
JP¥3,483.33
+1.1%
9.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥5,150.006
May ’24JP¥3,415.00
JP¥3,483.33
+2.0%
9.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥5,080.006
Apr ’24JP¥3,295.00
JP¥3,288.33
-0.2%
10.3%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,930.00JP¥5,390.006
Mar ’24JP¥3,040.00
JP¥3,288.33
+8.2%
10.3%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,930.00JP¥4,880.006
Feb ’24JP¥3,175.00
JP¥3,288.33
+3.6%
10.3%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,930.00JP¥5,080.006
Jan ’24JP¥2,990.00
JP¥3,021.67
+1.1%
3.4%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥5,030.006
Dec ’23JP¥2,837.00
JP¥3,021.67
+6.5%
3.4%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥5,810.006
Nov ’23JP¥2,786.00
JP¥3,021.67
+8.5%
3.4%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥6,280.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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