If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Adventure (TSE:6030) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Adventure is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.10 = JP¥2.0b ÷ (JP¥28b - JP¥8.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Therefore, Adventure has an ROCE of 10%. By itself that's a normal return on capital and it's in line with the industry's average returns of 9.8%.
View our latest analysis for Adventure
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Adventure's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Adventure has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Adventure's past earnings, revenue and cash flow .
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Adventure's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 19%, but since then they've fallen to 10%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a related note, Adventure has decreased its current liabilities to 31% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Adventure is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. Furthermore the stock has climbed 43% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Adventure that you might find interesting.
While Adventure isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6030
Adventure
Operates an online travel reservation platform under the skyticket name.
Excellent balance sheet with questionable track record.
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