HOTLANDLtd Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 3196 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

3196 (¥2080) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (¥1719.58)

Is 3196 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3196 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3196 (¥2080) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1719.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3196 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3196?

Key metric: As 3196 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3196. This is calculated by dividing 3196's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3196's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	26.5x
Earnings	JP¥1.67b
Market Cap	JP¥44.22b

3196 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	11.2x
PEG Ratio	3.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3196's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3196 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	17.9x
8163 SRS HoldingsLtd	22.9x	n/a	JP¥46.5b
3395 Saint Marc Holdings	23.3x	12.2%	JP¥49.2b
7522 Watami	11.4x	n/a	JP¥41.3b
4837 Shidax	14.1x	n/a	JP¥43.6b
3196 HOTLANDLtd	26.5x	8.0%	JP¥44.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3196 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the peer average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3196's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
7625 Global-Dining	3.8x	n/a	US$24.06m
5534 Angel Group	2.9x	n/a	US$22.19m

No more companies available in this PE range

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3196 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3196's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3196 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	26.5x
Fair PE Ratio	19.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3196 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.