BRONCO BILLY Co.,LTD.

TSE:3091 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥54.9b

BRONCO BILLYLTD Valuation

Is 3091 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3091 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3091 (¥3690) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4864.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3091 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3091?

Key metric: As 3091 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3091. This is calculated by dividing 3091's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3091's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio33.6x
EarningsJP¥1.64b
Market CapJP¥54.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3091's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3091 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.6x
9900 Sagami Holdings
44.9xn/aJP¥52.3b
8200 Ringer HutLtd
51.3xn/aJP¥57.1b
3395 Saint Marc Holdings
23.4x12.2%JP¥49.3b
8163 SRS HoldingsLtd
22.9xn/aJP¥46.4b
3091 BRONCO BILLYLTD
33.6x8.6%JP¥54.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3091 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x) compared to the peer average (35.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3091's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7625 Global-Dining
3.8xn/aUS$24.23m
5534 Angel Group
2.9xn/aUS$22.19m
No more companies available in this PE range
3091 33.6xIndustry Avg. 21.5xNo. of Companies19PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3091 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3091's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3091 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio33.6x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3091 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3091 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,690.00
JP¥3,935.00
+6.6%
8.5%JP¥4,270.00JP¥3,600.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥3,745.00
JP¥3,935.00
+5.1%
8.5%JP¥4,270.00JP¥3,600.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥3,840.00
JP¥3,935.00
+2.5%
8.5%JP¥4,270.00JP¥3,600.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥3,580.00
JP¥3,935.00
+9.9%
8.5%JP¥4,270.00JP¥3,600.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥3,415.00
JP¥3,935.00
+15.2%
8.5%JP¥4,270.00JP¥3,600.00n/a2
Jul ’25JP¥3,800.00
JP¥3,970.00
+4.5%
1.8%JP¥4,040.00JP¥3,900.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥4,065.00
JP¥3,970.00
-2.3%
1.8%JP¥4,040.00JP¥3,900.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥3,885.00
JP¥3,970.00
+2.2%
1.8%JP¥4,040.00JP¥3,900.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥3,700.00
JP¥3,620.00
-2.2%
11.6%JP¥4,040.00JP¥3,200.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥3,300.00
JP¥3,620.00
+9.7%
11.6%JP¥4,040.00JP¥3,200.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥3,415.00
JP¥3,620.00
+6.0%
11.6%JP¥4,040.00JP¥3,200.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥3,185.00
JP¥3,227.50
+1.3%
7.0%JP¥3,455.00JP¥3,000.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥3,180.00
JP¥3,227.50
+1.5%
7.0%JP¥3,455.00JP¥3,000.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥3,090.00
JP¥3,227.50
+4.4%
7.0%JP¥3,455.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,745.002
Oct ’24JP¥3,020.00
JP¥3,177.50
+5.2%
8.7%JP¥3,455.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥3,840.002
Sep ’24JP¥3,090.00
JP¥3,177.50
+2.8%
8.7%JP¥3,455.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥3,580.002
Aug ’24JP¥2,843.00
JP¥2,760.00
-2.9%
5.1%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,620.00JP¥3,415.002
Jul ’24JP¥2,791.00
JP¥2,660.00
-4.7%
1.5%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,620.00JP¥3,800.002
Jun ’24JP¥2,829.00
JP¥2,660.00
-6.0%
1.5%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,620.00JP¥4,065.002
May ’24JP¥2,770.00
JP¥2,660.00
-4.0%
1.5%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,620.00JP¥3,885.002
Apr ’24JP¥2,515.00
JP¥2,410.00
-4.2%
8.7%JP¥2,620.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,700.002
Mar ’24JP¥2,440.00
JP¥2,410.00
-1.2%
8.7%JP¥2,620.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,300.002
Feb ’24JP¥2,455.00
JP¥2,540.00
+3.5%
13.4%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥3,415.002
Jan ’24JP¥2,439.00
JP¥2,690.00
+10.3%
7.1%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,185.002
Dec ’23JP¥2,496.00
JP¥2,690.00
+7.8%
7.1%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,180.002
Nov ’23JP¥2,458.00
JP¥2,690.00
+9.4%
7.1%JP¥2,880.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,090.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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