Kura Sushi,Inc.

TSE:2695 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥158.0b

Kura SushiInc Valuation

Is 2695 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2695 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2695 (¥3835) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥6595.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2695 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2695?

Key metric: As 2695 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2695. This is calculated by dividing 2695's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2695's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.7x
EarningsJP¥5.95b
Market CapJP¥157.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2695's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2695 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average71.8x
7630 Ichibanya
57.2x10.9%JP¥161.3b
7616 ColowideLtd
185.9xn/aJP¥182.2b
9936 Ohsho Food Service
22.5x5.7%JP¥172.1b
3543 KOMEDA Holdings
21.4x6.2%JP¥129.6b
2695 Kura SushiInc
25.6x5.9%JP¥152.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2695 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x) compared to the peer average (71.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2695's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7625 Global-Dining
3.8xn/aUS$24.30m
5534 Angel Group
2.9xn/aUS$22.19m
No more companies available in this PE range
2695 25.7xIndustry Avg. 21.6xNo. of Companies19PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2695 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x) compared to the JP Hospitality industry average (21.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2695's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2695 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.7x
Fair PE Ratio22.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2695 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2695 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,845.00
JP¥4,360.00
+13.4%
16.1%JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,800.00n/a5
Nov ’25JP¥4,030.00
JP¥4,360.00
+8.2%
16.1%JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,800.00n/a5
Oct ’25JP¥3,770.00
JP¥4,360.00
+15.6%
16.1%JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,800.00n/a5
Sep ’25JP¥3,810.00
JP¥4,280.00
+12.3%
21.8%JP¥5,700.00JP¥2,800.00n/a5
Aug ’25JP¥3,865.00
JP¥4,280.00
+10.7%
21.8%JP¥5,700.00JP¥2,800.00n/a5
Jul ’25JP¥4,040.00
JP¥4,280.00
+5.9%
21.8%JP¥5,700.00JP¥2,800.00n/a5
Jun ’25JP¥4,830.00
JP¥4,140.00
-14.3%
22.9%JP¥5,600.00JP¥2,800.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥4,905.00
JP¥4,140.00
-15.6%
22.9%JP¥5,600.00JP¥2,800.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥4,845.00
JP¥4,140.00
-14.6%
22.9%JP¥5,600.00JP¥2,800.00n/a5
Mar ’25JP¥3,920.00
JP¥3,550.00
-9.4%
13.5%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,800.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥3,900.00
JP¥3,550.00
-9.0%
13.5%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,800.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥3,410.00
JP¥3,300.00
-3.2%
13.6%JP¥4,200.00JP¥2,800.00n/a6
Dec ’24JP¥3,730.00
JP¥3,275.00
-12.2%
19.6%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,350.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥3,635.00
JP¥3,275.00
-9.9%
19.6%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥4,030.006
Oct ’24JP¥3,395.00
JP¥3,275.00
-3.5%
19.6%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥3,770.006
Sep ’24JP¥3,180.00
JP¥2,991.67
-5.9%
12.5%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥3,810.006
Aug ’24JP¥3,090.00
JP¥2,950.00
-4.5%
13.5%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥3,865.005
Jul ’24JP¥3,050.00
JP¥2,950.00
-3.3%
13.5%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥4,040.005
Jun ’24JP¥3,095.00
JP¥3,220.00
+4.0%
15.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥4,830.005
May ’24JP¥3,230.00
JP¥3,220.00
-0.3%
15.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥4,905.005
Apr ’24JP¥3,260.00
JP¥3,220.00
-1.2%
15.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥4,845.005
Mar ’24JP¥3,290.00
JP¥3,340.00
+1.5%
20.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥3,920.005
Feb ’24JP¥3,010.00
JP¥3,340.00
+11.0%
20.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥3,900.005
Jan ’24JP¥3,000.00
JP¥3,360.00
+12.0%
19.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,410.005
Dec ’23JP¥3,375.00
JP¥3,220.00
-4.6%
17.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,730.005
Nov ’23JP¥3,480.00
JP¥3,220.00
-7.5%
17.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,635.005

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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