Tsuruha Holdings Inc.

TSE:3391 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥401.8b

Tsuruha Holdings Valuation

Is 3391 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3391 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3391 (¥8290) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥3773.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3391 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3391?

Key metric: As 3391 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3391. This is calculated by dividing 3391's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3391's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.3x
EarningsJP¥24.81b
Market CapJP¥401.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3391's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3391 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.9x
9989 SundrugLtd
13.9x5.7%JP¥408.9b
3141 Welcia Holdings
17.8x7.3%JP¥393.7b
7649 Sugi HoldingsLtd
19x6.8%JP¥470.1b
3349 COSMOS Pharmaceutical
21.1x5.9%JP¥557.3b
3391 Tsuruha Holdings
16.3x8.5%JP¥401.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3391 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the peer average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3391's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
3391 16.3xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3391 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the JP Consumer Retailing industry average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3391's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3391 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.3x
Fair PE Ratio18.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3391 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3391 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥8,290.00
JP¥10,118.18
+22.1%
8.8%JP¥12,000.00JP¥9,100.00n/a11
Nov ’25JP¥8,471.00
JP¥10,118.18
+19.4%
8.8%JP¥12,000.00JP¥9,100.00n/a11
Oct ’25JP¥9,111.00
JP¥10,127.27
+11.2%
8.9%JP¥12,000.00JP¥9,100.00n/a11
Sep ’25JP¥8,838.00
JP¥10,220.00
+15.6%
8.6%JP¥12,000.00JP¥8,920.00n/a11
Aug ’25JP¥9,145.00
JP¥10,770.00
+17.8%
6.9%JP¥12,000.00JP¥9,600.00n/a10
Jul ’25JP¥9,245.00
JP¥11,010.00
+19.1%
7.6%JP¥12,400.00JP¥9,600.00n/a10
Jun ’25JP¥9,302.00
JP¥11,780.00
+26.6%
8.7%JP¥13,500.00JP¥10,200.00n/a10
May ’25JP¥9,884.00
JP¥11,940.00
+20.8%
7.4%JP¥13,500.00JP¥10,600.00n/a10
Apr ’25JP¥10,760.00
JP¥12,240.00
+13.8%
6.5%JP¥13,500.00JP¥10,600.00n/a10
Mar ’25JP¥11,105.00
JP¥12,053.00
+8.5%
8.9%JP¥14,300.00JP¥10,600.00n/a10
Feb ’25JP¥11,485.00
JP¥11,866.36
+3.3%
9.3%JP¥14,300.00JP¥10,600.00n/a11
Jan ’25JP¥12,925.00
JP¥11,866.36
-8.2%
9.3%JP¥14,300.00JP¥10,600.00n/a11
Dec ’24JP¥12,290.00
JP¥11,113.64
-9.6%
8.1%JP¥13,000.00JP¥10,000.00n/a11
Nov ’24JP¥11,060.00
JP¥11,113.64
+0.5%
8.1%JP¥13,000.00JP¥10,000.00JP¥8,471.0011
Oct ’24JP¥10,045.00
JP¥11,090.00
+10.4%
8.4%JP¥13,000.00JP¥10,000.00JP¥9,111.0010
Sep ’24JP¥10,660.00
JP¥10,541.67
-1.1%
13.4%JP¥13,000.00JP¥8,100.00JP¥8,838.0012
Aug ’24JP¥10,970.00
JP¥10,491.67
-4.4%
14.2%JP¥13,000.00JP¥8,000.00JP¥9,145.0012
Jul ’24JP¥10,705.00
JP¥10,108.33
-5.6%
14.7%JP¥13,000.00JP¥8,000.00JP¥9,245.0012
Jun ’24JP¥9,860.00
JP¥9,608.33
-2.6%
13.5%JP¥12,400.00JP¥7,800.00JP¥9,302.0012
May ’24JP¥9,000.00
JP¥9,263.64
+2.9%
11.1%JP¥11,000.00JP¥7,800.00JP¥9,884.0011
Apr ’24JP¥8,850.00
JP¥9,263.64
+4.7%
11.1%JP¥11,000.00JP¥7,800.00JP¥10,760.0011
Mar ’24JP¥8,960.00
JP¥9,309.09
+3.9%
11.1%JP¥11,500.00JP¥7,400.00JP¥11,105.0011
Feb ’24JP¥9,710.00
JP¥9,481.82
-2.3%
12.4%JP¥11,500.00JP¥7,400.00JP¥11,485.0011
Jan ’24JP¥10,200.00
JP¥9,454.55
-7.3%
13.1%JP¥11,500.00JP¥7,400.00JP¥12,925.0011
Dec ’23JP¥9,220.00
JP¥8,581.82
-6.9%
12.7%JP¥11,200.00JP¥7,100.00JP¥12,290.0011
Nov ’23JP¥8,670.00
JP¥8,545.45
-1.4%
12.8%JP¥11,200.00JP¥7,100.00JP¥11,060.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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