Welcia Holdings Co., Ltd.

TSE:3141 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥393.7b

Welcia Holdings Valuation

Is 3141 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3141 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3141 (¥1883) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3942.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3141 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3141?

Key metric: As 3141 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3141. This is calculated by dividing 3141's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3141's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.8x
EarningsJP¥21.93b
Market CapJP¥393.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3141's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3141 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.6x
9989 SundrugLtd
13.9x5.7%JP¥408.9b
3391 Tsuruha Holdings
16.3x8.5%JP¥401.8b
7649 Sugi HoldingsLtd
19x6.8%JP¥470.1b
3349 COSMOS Pharmaceutical
21.1x5.9%JP¥557.3b
3141 Welcia Holdings
17.8x7.3%JP¥393.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3141 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the peer average (17.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3141's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
3141 17.8xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3141 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the JP Consumer Retailing industry average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3141's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3141 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3141 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3141 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,883.00
JP¥2,114.55
+12.3%
11.7%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,750.00n/a11
Nov ’25JP¥1,875.00
JP¥2,128.18
+13.5%
11.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,750.00n/a11
Oct ’25JP¥2,035.00
JP¥2,198.18
+8.0%
12.9%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00n/a11
Sep ’25JP¥2,011.50
JP¥2,270.91
+12.9%
12.0%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00n/a11
Aug ’25JP¥2,015.50
JP¥2,368.00
+17.5%
12.1%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00n/a10
Jul ’25JP¥1,987.00
JP¥2,415.00
+21.5%
9.4%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,100.00n/a10
Jun ’25JP¥2,166.50
JP¥2,676.67
+23.5%
9.0%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,300.00n/a9
May ’25JP¥2,305.00
JP¥2,826.67
+22.6%
8.3%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,590.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥2,504.50
JP¥2,881.11
+15.0%
8.0%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,700.00n/a9
Mar ’25JP¥2,734.00
JP¥2,830.00
+3.5%
9.6%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,500.00n/a9
Feb ’25JP¥2,518.00
JP¥2,847.00
+13.1%
9.2%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,500.00n/a10
Jan ’25JP¥2,466.00
JP¥2,977.00
+20.7%
11.7%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,600.00n/a10
Dec ’24JP¥2,547.00
JP¥3,050.00
+19.7%
11.1%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,630.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥2,492.00
JP¥3,077.78
+23.5%
10.5%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,630.00JP¥1,875.009
Oct ’24JP¥2,583.50
JP¥3,133.75
+21.3%
9.5%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,035.008
Sep ’24JP¥2,672.00
JP¥3,227.00
+20.8%
8.5%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,011.5010
Aug ’24JP¥2,707.00
JP¥3,257.00
+20.3%
9.7%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,015.5010
Jul ’24JP¥2,995.50
JP¥3,297.00
+10.1%
9.8%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,987.0010
Jun ’24JP¥2,991.00
JP¥3,307.00
+10.6%
10.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,166.5010
May ’24JP¥2,878.00
JP¥3,322.22
+15.4%
11.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,305.009
Apr ’24JP¥2,834.00
JP¥3,410.00
+20.3%
9.3%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,504.5010
Mar ’24JP¥2,842.00
JP¥3,465.00
+21.9%
8.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,734.0010
Feb ’24JP¥2,911.00
JP¥3,495.00
+20.1%
7.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,518.0010
Jan ’24JP¥3,075.00
JP¥3,495.00
+13.7%
7.7%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,466.0010
Dec ’23JP¥3,105.00
JP¥3,445.00
+11.0%
8.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,547.0010
Nov ’23JP¥3,115.00
JP¥3,429.00
+10.1%
9.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,492.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y