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The Price Is Right For NIHON CHOUZAI Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3341) Even After Diving 26%
NIHON CHOUZAI Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3341) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 19% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, NIHON CHOUZAILtd may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
NIHON CHOUZAILtd could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for NIHON CHOUZAILtd
How Is NIHON CHOUZAILtd's Growth Trending?
NIHON CHOUZAILtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 63%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 51% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 53% per year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.6% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that NIHON CHOUZAILtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From NIHON CHOUZAILtd's P/E?
Despite the recent share price weakness, NIHON CHOUZAILtd's P/E remains higher than most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of NIHON CHOUZAILtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with NIHON CHOUZAILtd.
If you're unsure about the strength of NIHON CHOUZAILtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NIHON CHOUZAILtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:3341
NIHON CHOUZAILtd
Engages in the management of health insurance dispensing chain pharmacies in Japan.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.