Welcia Holdings Co., Ltd.

TSE:3141 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥414.3b

Welcia Holdings Valuation

Is 3141 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3141 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3141 (¥1935.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3060.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3141 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3141?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

3141 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.1x
PEG Ratio3.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3141's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3141 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.4x
7649 Sugi HoldingsLtd
20.1x8.1%JP¥452.4b
3391 Tsuruha Holdings
17.3x6.4%JP¥415.9b
9989 SundrugLtd
16.6x5.8%JP¥490.0b
3349 COSMOS Pharmaceutical
23.7x6.5%JP¥580.1b
3141 Welcia Holdings
16.6x5.2%JP¥414.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3141 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (19.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3141's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.5%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.5%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3141 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the JP Consumer Retailing industry average (12.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3141's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3141 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3141 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3141 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,935.50
JP¥2,207.27
+14.0%
12.9%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00n/a11
Sep ’25JP¥2,011.50
JP¥2,270.91
+12.9%
12.0%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00n/a11
Aug ’25JP¥2,015.50
JP¥2,368.00
+17.5%
12.1%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00n/a10
Jul ’25JP¥1,987.00
JP¥2,415.00
+21.5%
9.4%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,100.00n/a10
Jun ’25JP¥2,166.50
JP¥2,676.67
+23.5%
9.0%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,300.00n/a9
May ’25JP¥2,305.00
JP¥2,826.67
+22.6%
8.3%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,590.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥2,504.50
JP¥2,881.11
+15.0%
8.0%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,700.00n/a9
Mar ’25JP¥2,734.00
JP¥2,830.00
+3.5%
9.6%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,500.00n/a9
Feb ’25JP¥2,518.00
JP¥2,847.00
+13.1%
9.2%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,500.00n/a10
Jan ’25JP¥2,466.00
JP¥2,977.00
+20.7%
11.7%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,600.00n/a10
Dec ’24JP¥2,547.00
JP¥3,050.00
+19.7%
11.1%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,630.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥2,492.00
JP¥3,077.78
+23.5%
10.5%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,630.00n/a9
Oct ’24JP¥2,583.50
JP¥3,133.75
+21.3%
9.5%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,800.00n/a8
Sep ’24JP¥2,672.00
JP¥3,227.00
+20.8%
8.5%JP¥3,700.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,011.5010
Aug ’24JP¥2,707.00
JP¥3,257.00
+20.3%
9.7%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,015.5010
Jul ’24JP¥2,995.50
JP¥3,297.00
+10.1%
9.8%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,987.0010
Jun ’24JP¥2,991.00
JP¥3,307.00
+10.6%
10.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,166.5010
May ’24JP¥2,878.00
JP¥3,322.22
+15.4%
11.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,305.009
Apr ’24JP¥2,834.00
JP¥3,410.00
+20.3%
9.3%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,504.5010
Mar ’24JP¥2,842.00
JP¥3,465.00
+21.9%
8.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,734.0010
Feb ’24JP¥2,911.00
JP¥3,495.00
+20.1%
7.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,518.0010
Jan ’24JP¥3,075.00
JP¥3,495.00
+13.7%
7.7%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,466.0010
Dec ’23JP¥3,105.00
JP¥3,445.00
+11.0%
8.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,547.0010
Nov ’23JP¥3,115.00
JP¥3,429.00
+10.1%
9.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,492.0010
Oct ’23JP¥3,055.00
JP¥3,401.00
+11.3%
12.2%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,583.5010
Sep ’23JP¥2,927.00
JP¥3,361.00
+14.8%
13.4%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,672.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y