Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd.

TSE:3038 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥792.5b

Kobe Bussan Valuation

Is 3038 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3038 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3038 (¥3587) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4425.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3038 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3038?

Key metric: As 3038 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3038. This is calculated by dividing 3038's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3038's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40x
EarningsJP¥19.82b
Market CapJP¥792.47b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3038's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3038 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.9x
8279 YaokoLtd
20.3x9.0%JP¥385.4b
8242 H2O Retailing
5.9x-21.0%JP¥250.7b
2659 SAN-ALTD
15.6x4.5%JP¥172.0b
2791 DaikokutenbussanLtd
21.8xn/aJP¥148.6b
3038 Kobe Bussan
40x14.2%JP¥792.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3038 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3038's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
3038 40.0xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3038 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40x) compared to the JP Consumer Retailing industry average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3038's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3038 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40x
Fair PE Ratio24.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3038 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3038 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,587.00
JP¥4,155.56
+15.9%
10.4%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,700.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥3,757.00
JP¥4,155.56
+10.6%
10.4%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,700.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥4,487.00
JP¥4,233.33
-5.7%
14.3%JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,700.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥4,245.00
JP¥4,083.33
-3.8%
9.4%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,700.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥3,983.00
JP¥3,994.44
+0.3%
5.4%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,700.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥3,548.00
JP¥3,985.00
+12.3%
6.1%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Jun ’25JP¥3,481.00
JP¥4,055.00
+16.5%
5.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
May ’25JP¥3,439.00
JP¥4,085.00
+18.8%
6.5%JP¥4,450.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Apr ’25JP¥3,683.00
JP¥4,115.00
+11.7%
6.9%JP¥4,450.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Mar ’25JP¥3,966.00
JP¥4,135.00
+4.3%
8.6%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Feb ’25JP¥3,770.00
JP¥4,100.00
+8.8%
8.8%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,500.00n/a9
Jan ’25JP¥4,166.00
JP¥4,100.00
-1.6%
8.8%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,500.00n/a9
Dec ’24JP¥3,850.00
JP¥3,980.00
+3.4%
7.7%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Nov ’24JP¥3,648.00
JP¥3,980.00
+9.1%
7.7%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,757.0010
Oct ’24JP¥3,506.00
JP¥3,980.00
+13.5%
7.7%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,487.0010
Sep ’24JP¥3,651.00
JP¥3,918.18
+7.3%
9.4%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,245.0011
Aug ’24JP¥3,754.00
JP¥3,918.18
+4.4%
9.4%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,983.0011
Jul ’24JP¥3,726.00
JP¥3,925.00
+5.3%
9.9%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,548.0010
Jun ’24JP¥3,930.00
JP¥3,960.00
+0.8%
9.4%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,481.0011
May ’24JP¥3,855.00
JP¥3,936.00
+2.1%
10.1%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,439.0010
Apr ’24JP¥3,685.00
JP¥3,926.00
+6.5%
10.4%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,683.0010
Mar ’24JP¥3,635.00
JP¥3,970.00
+9.2%
11.3%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,966.0010
Feb ’24JP¥3,780.00
JP¥3,970.00
+5.0%
11.3%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,770.0010
Jan ’24JP¥3,790.00
JP¥3,940.00
+4.0%
8.5%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,166.0010
Dec ’23JP¥3,655.00
JP¥3,875.00
+6.0%
8.7%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,850.0010
Nov ’23JP¥3,240.00
JP¥3,835.00
+18.4%
7.3%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,648.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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