Kobe Bussan Valuation

Is 3038 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3038 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3038 (¥3463) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥3300.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3038 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3038?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

3038 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19x
PEG Ratio4.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3038's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3038 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.8x
2651 Lawson
19.8x3.0%JP¥1.0t
8279 YaokoLtd
20.6x8.9%JP¥372.8b
8242 H2O Retailing
11.4x-0.9%JP¥251.8b
8194 Life
11.3x4.8%JP¥189.6b
3038 Kobe Bussan
30.9x7.4%JP¥768.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3038 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3038's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3038 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x) compared to the JP Consumer Retailing industry average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3038's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3038 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.9x
Fair PE Ratio21.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3038 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3038 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,463.00
JP¥4,055.00
+17.1%
5.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Jun ’25JP¥3,481.00
JP¥4,055.00
+16.5%
5.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
May ’25JP¥3,439.00
JP¥4,085.00
+18.8%
6.5%JP¥4,450.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Apr ’25JP¥3,683.00
JP¥4,115.00
+11.7%
6.9%JP¥4,450.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Mar ’25JP¥3,966.00
JP¥4,135.00
+4.3%
8.6%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Feb ’25JP¥3,770.00
JP¥4,100.00
+8.8%
8.8%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,500.00n/a9
Jan ’25JP¥4,166.00
JP¥4,100.00
-1.6%
8.8%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,500.00n/a9
Dec ’24JP¥3,850.00
JP¥3,980.00
+3.4%
7.7%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Nov ’24JP¥3,648.00
JP¥3,980.00
+9.1%
7.7%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Oct ’24JP¥3,506.00
JP¥3,980.00
+13.5%
7.7%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Sep ’24JP¥3,651.00
JP¥3,918.18
+7.3%
9.4%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,500.00n/a11
Aug ’24JP¥3,754.00
JP¥3,918.18
+4.4%
9.4%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,500.00n/a11
Jul ’24JP¥3,726.00
JP¥3,925.00
+5.3%
9.9%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,500.00n/a10
Jun ’24JP¥3,930.00
JP¥3,960.00
+0.8%
9.4%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,481.0011
May ’24JP¥3,855.00
JP¥3,936.00
+2.1%
10.1%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,439.0010
Apr ’24JP¥3,685.00
JP¥3,926.00
+6.5%
10.4%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,683.0010
Mar ’24JP¥3,635.00
JP¥3,970.00
+9.2%
11.3%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,966.0010
Feb ’24JP¥3,780.00
JP¥3,970.00
+5.0%
11.3%JP¥4,750.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,770.0010
Jan ’24JP¥3,790.00
JP¥3,940.00
+4.0%
8.5%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,166.0010
Dec ’23JP¥3,655.00
JP¥3,875.00
+6.0%
8.7%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,850.0010
Nov ’23JP¥3,240.00
JP¥3,835.00
+18.4%
7.3%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,648.0010
Oct ’23JP¥3,495.00
JP¥3,885.00
+11.2%
8.5%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,506.0010
Sep ’23JP¥3,525.00
JP¥3,875.00
+9.9%
10.5%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,651.0010
Aug ’23JP¥3,880.00
JP¥3,875.00
-0.1%
10.5%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,754.0010
Jul ’23JP¥3,330.00
JP¥3,875.00
+16.4%
10.5%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,726.0010
Jun ’23JP¥3,115.00
JP¥4,061.11
+30.4%
14.1%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,930.009

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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