Stock Analysis

Only Four Days Left To Cash In On First Juken's (TSE:8917) Dividend

TSE:8917
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see First Juken Co., Ltd. (TSE:8917) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Accordingly, First Juken investors that purchase the stock on or after the 30th of October will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 14th of January.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥22.00 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of JP¥43.00 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that First Juken has a trailing yield of 3.9% on the current share price of JP¥1096.00. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to investigate whether First Juken can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

View our latest analysis for First Juken

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. That's why it's good to see First Juken paying out a modest 45% of its earnings. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Luckily it paid out just 21% of its free cash flow last year.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Click here to see how much of its profit First Juken paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
TSE:8917 Historic Dividend October 25th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. With that in mind, we're discomforted by First Juken's 12% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. First Juken's dividend payments are effectively flat on where they were six years ago. If a company's dividend stays flat while earnings are in decline, this is typically a sign that it is paying out a larger percentage of its earnings. This can become unsustainable if earnings fall far enough.

To Sum It Up

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid First Juken? First Juken has comfortably low cash and profit payout ratios, which may mean the dividend is sustainable even in the face of a sharp decline in earnings per share. Still, we consider declining earnings to be a warning sign. In summary, it's hard to get excited about First Juken from a dividend perspective.

While it's tempting to invest in First Juken for the dividends alone, you should always be mindful of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for First Juken (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.