Descente Valuation

Is 8114 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8114 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8114 (¥4330) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥2365.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8114 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8114?

Key metric: As 8114 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8114. This is calculated by dividing 8114's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8114's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26x
EarningsJP¥12.58b
Market CapJP¥327.20b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8114's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8114 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.9x
8111 Goldwin
16x7.5%JP¥396.0b
3591 Wacoal Holdings
58.2x25.6%JP¥264.7b
8050 Seiko Group
13.6x8.3%JP¥168.7b
3002 Gunze
15.9x14.4%JP¥86.1b
8114 Descente
26x14.5%JP¥327.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8114 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the peer average (25.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8114's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
8114 26.0xIndustry Avg. 15.9xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8114 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the JP Luxury industry average (15.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8114's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8114 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8114 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8114 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,330.00
JP¥4,862.50
+12.3%
6.8%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,500.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥4,330.00
JP¥4,862.50
+12.3%
6.8%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,500.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥4,345.00
JP¥4,862.50
+11.9%
6.8%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,500.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥4,365.00
JP¥4,862.50
+11.4%
6.8%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,500.00n/a4
Aug ’25JP¥3,920.00
JP¥4,862.50
+24.0%
6.8%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,500.00n/a4
Jul ’25JP¥3,330.00
JP¥4,883.33
+46.6%
7.8%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,500.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥3,350.00
JP¥5,150.00
+53.7%
11.7%JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,700.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥3,600.00
JP¥5,316.67
+47.7%
10.0%JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,700.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥3,425.00
JP¥5,316.67
+55.2%
10.0%JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,700.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥3,380.00
JP¥5,650.00
+67.2%
7.1%JP¥6,200.00JP¥5,250.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥3,445.00
JP¥5,783.33
+67.9%
5.2%JP¥6,200.00JP¥5,500.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥3,720.00
JP¥5,900.00
+58.6%
5.0%JP¥6,200.00JP¥5,500.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥4,280.00
JP¥5,766.67
+34.7%
3.6%JP¥6,000.00JP¥5,500.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥4,120.00
JP¥5,666.67
+37.5%
2.2%JP¥5,800.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,330.003
Oct ’24JP¥4,285.00
JP¥5,666.67
+32.2%
2.2%JP¥5,800.00JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,345.003
Sep ’24JP¥3,650.00
JP¥5,500.00
+50.7%
5.1%JP¥5,700.00JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,365.003
Aug ’24JP¥4,170.00
JP¥5,200.00
+24.7%
7.2%JP¥5,700.00JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,920.003
Jul ’24JP¥4,085.00
JP¥5,200.00
+27.3%
7.2%JP¥5,700.00JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,330.003
Jun ’24JP¥3,820.00
JP¥5,500.00
+44.0%
5.5%JP¥5,800.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,350.002
May ’24JP¥4,355.00
JP¥5,500.00
+26.3%
5.5%JP¥5,800.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,600.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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