Seiko Group Corporation

TSE:8050 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥178.1b

Seiko Group Valuation

Is 8050 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8050 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8050 (¥4360) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥5275.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8050 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8050?

Key metric: As 8050 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8050. This is calculated by dividing 8050's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8050's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.3x
EarningsJP¥12.44b
Market CapJP¥178.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8050's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8050 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.8x
3591 Wacoal Holdings
54.1x25.6%JP¥245.9b
8114 Descente
26x14.5%JP¥327.6b
3002 Gunze
15.9x14.4%JP¥86.0b
8111 Goldwin
15.2x7.2%JP¥378.5b
8050 Seiko Group
14.3x8.3%JP¥178.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8050 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the peer average (27.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8050's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
8050 14.3xIndustry Avg. 15.1xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8050 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the JP Luxury industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8050's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8050 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.3x
Fair PE Ratio14.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8050 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8050 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,360.00
JP¥5,133.33
+17.7%
10.2%JP¥5,600.00JP¥4,400.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥3,745.00
JP¥5,133.33
+37.1%
10.2%JP¥5,600.00JP¥4,400.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥3,965.00
JP¥5,133.33
+29.5%
10.2%JP¥5,600.00JP¥4,400.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥3,985.00
JP¥5,266.67
+32.2%
11.7%JP¥5,800.00JP¥4,400.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥4,255.00
JP¥5,333.33
+25.3%
12.4%JP¥5,800.00JP¥4,400.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥4,850.00
JP¥5,333.33
+10.0%
12.4%JP¥5,800.00JP¥4,400.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥4,570.00
JP¥4,866.67
+6.5%
13.6%JP¥5,800.00JP¥4,400.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥4,190.00
JP¥4,733.33
+13.0%
10.0%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,400.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥4,050.00
JP¥4,733.33
+16.9%
10.0%JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,400.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥3,570.00
JP¥3,866.67
+8.3%
28.0%JP¥5,400.00JP¥3,100.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥2,610.00
JP¥3,950.00
+51.3%
21.5%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,100.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥2,694.00
JP¥3,950.00
+46.6%
21.5%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,100.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥2,531.00
JP¥4,000.00
+58.0%
20.0%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,200.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥2,347.00
JP¥4,033.33
+71.9%
16.2%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,745.003
Oct ’24JP¥2,616.00
JP¥3,800.00
+45.3%
18.3%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,965.004
Sep ’24JP¥2,704.00
JP¥3,700.00
+36.8%
15.2%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,985.004
Aug ’24JP¥2,617.00
JP¥3,700.00
+41.4%
15.2%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,255.004
Jul ’24JP¥2,598.00
JP¥3,700.00
+42.4%
15.2%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,850.004
Jun ’24JP¥2,627.00
JP¥3,850.00
+46.6%
12.5%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,570.004
May ’24JP¥2,996.00
JP¥3,825.00
+27.7%
11.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,190.004
Apr ’24JP¥2,895.00
JP¥3,825.00
+32.1%
11.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,050.004
Mar ’24JP¥2,871.00
JP¥3,875.00
+35.0%
12.7%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,570.004
Feb ’24JP¥2,955.00
JP¥3,875.00
+31.1%
12.7%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,610.004
Jan ’24JP¥3,105.00
JP¥3,875.00
+24.8%
12.7%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,694.004
Dec ’23JP¥3,135.00
JP¥3,812.50
+21.6%
15.5%JP¥4,300.00JP¥2,850.00JP¥2,531.004
Nov ’23JP¥3,325.00
JP¥3,537.50
+6.4%
12.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,850.00JP¥2,347.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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