Goldwin Inc. (TSE:8111) Just Released Its Interim Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

It's been a pretty great week for Goldwin Inc. (TSE:8111) shareholders, with its shares surging 13% to JP¥8,810 in the week since its latest half-year results. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of JP¥53b and statutory earnings per share of JP¥539 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Goldwin is executing in line with expectations. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

See our latest analysis for Goldwin

Following the latest results, Goldwin's seven analysts are now forecasting revenues of JP¥135.0b in 2025. This would be a modest 4.5% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to shrink 8.0% to JP¥508 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥135.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥503 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of JP¥12,029, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Goldwin at JP¥14,000 per share, while the most bearish prices it at JP¥9,900. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 9.2% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 7.8% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 5.1% annually. So it's pretty clear that Goldwin is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Goldwin. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Goldwin analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Goldwin , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.