Yamaha Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Yamaha is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11% and 3.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.2% in 3 years.
Key information
11.0%
Earnings growth rate
12.93%
EPS growth rate
| Leisure earnings growth | 11.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 3.2% |
| Future return on equity | 7.15% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 21 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 28
7951: Buybacks And Mixed Segment Trends Will Support Balanced Medium-Term Repricing
Analysts have kept Yamaha's fair value estimate steady at ¥1,181.43, with only marginal adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect refreshed assumptions rather than a change in overall view. What's in the News Yamaha completed a share repurchase of 13,488,300 shares, or 3% of shares, for ¥14,999.9 million under the buyback announced on November 4, 2025.Narrative Update • Apr 09
7951: Buybacks And Creator-Focused Products Will Support Steady Medium-Term Repricing
Analysts have kept Yamaha's price target broadly steady around ¥1,181, citing only small tweaks to assumptions such as the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiple rather than any major shift in the outlook. What's in the News Yamaha completed a share repurchase program announced on November 4, 2025, buying back a total of 13,488,300 shares, representing 3% of shares, for ¥14,999.9 million.Narrative Update • Mar 26
7951: Buybacks And Creator-Focused Products Will Support Balanced Medium-Term Repricing
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Yamaha slightly higher from ¥1,180 to approximately ¥1,181, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Yamaha completed a share buyback of 13,488,300 shares, representing 3% of shares, for ¥14,999.9 million under the program announced on November 4, 2025, with repurchases running through March 24, 2026 (company buyback update).Narrative Update • Mar 11
7951: Share Repurchases And New Creator Products Will Support Balanced Medium Term Repricing
Analysts have kept their Yamaha price target steady at ¥1,180, with small tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate and assumed future P/E reflecting only minor model refinements rather than a shift in their overall view. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for November 4, 2025 to approve matters related to acquisition of treasury stock, indicating continued focus on share repurchases (Board Meeting).Narrative Update • Feb 25
7951: Audio Creator Launches And Buyback Will Support Balanced Medium Term Repricing
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Yamaha to ¥1,180 from ¥1,158, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Yamaha raised its consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, now guiding to revenue of ¥462.0b, core operating profit of ¥33.0b, operating profit of ¥30.0b, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥24.0b, with basic EPS at ¥53.32 (company guidance).Analysis Article • Feb 13
There May Be Reason For Hope In Yamaha's (TSE:7951) Disappointing Earnings
Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Yamaha Corporation's ( TSE:7951 ) lackluster earnings report last week. We think...Narrative Update • Feb 11
7951: New Audio Creator Products And Buyback Will Support Measured Repricing Potential
Analysts have kept their Yamaha fair value estimate steady at ¥1,158.57, with only modest tweaks to assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E informing the updated price target narrative. What's in the News Yamaha revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with revenue now expected at ¥462.0b and core operating profit at ¥33.0b, alongside profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥24.0b and basic EPS of ¥53.32.Narrative Update • Jan 28
7951: New Creator-Focused Audio Lineup Will Support Gradual Repricing Potential
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Yamaha from ¥1,132.50 to about ¥1,158.60, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that collectively support a higher price target. What's in the News Yamaha launched its MGX Series digital mixing consoles, URX Series audio interfaces, and CC1 USB controller, targeting musicians, performers, streamers, podcasters, and content creators across live performance, recording, and streaming use cases (Product-Related Announcements).Analysis Article • Jan 06
Yamaha (TSE:7951) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analysis Article • Dec 03
Yamaha (TSE:7951) Could Easily Take On More Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Narrative Update • Sep 06
Digital Transformation Will Unlock Global Music Opportunities
Despite a slight increase in Yamaha’s discount rate, both the future P/E and analyst price target remained essentially unchanged, with the fair value holding steady at ¥1132. What's in the News Yamaha lowered FY2026 guidance, with revenue now expected at JPY 452,000 million (down from JPY 455,000 million) and operating profit revised to JPY 30,000 million (down from JPY 38,500 million).Analysis Article • Aug 14
We Think You Can Look Beyond Yamaha's (TSE:7951) Lackluster Earnings
The most recent earnings report from Yamaha Corporation ( TSE:7951 ) was disappointing for shareholders. However, our...Analysis Article • Jul 14
Is Yamaha (TSE:7951) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Analysis Article • Jun 28
Yamaha Corporation Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
It's been a good week for Yamaha Corporation ( TSE:7951 ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Analysis Article • Apr 25
Investors Appear Satisfied With Yamaha Corporation's (TSE:7951) Prospects
Yamaha Corporation's ( TSE:7951 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.7x might make it look like a strong sell...Analysis Article • Mar 15
Yamaha (TSE:7951) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Feb 28
An Intrinsic Calculation For Yamaha Corporation (TSE:7951) Suggests It's 22% Undervalued
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Yamaha fair value estimate is JP¥1,443 Yamaha is estimated to...Analysis Article • Feb 13
Some May Be Optimistic About Yamaha's (TSE:7951) Earnings
Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Yamaha Corporation's ( TSE:7951 ) shareholders over the last week. Our analysis...
New Narrative • Dec 29
New Digital Mixer And Audio Equipment Expansion Ignite Future Growth
Strong performance in B2B audio and new digital mixer release are key drivers of future revenue growth despite sluggish instrument sales.Analysis Article • Dec 23
Yamaha Corporation's (TSE:7951) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion
Yamaha Corporation's ( TSE:7951 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.9x might make it look like a strong sell...Analysis Article • Dec 04
Investors Could Be Concerned With Yamaha's (TSE:7951) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analysis Article • Aug 28
Is There An Opportunity With Yamaha Corporation's (TSE:7951) 35% Undervaluation?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Yamaha is JP¥5,282 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Yamaha's...Analysis Article • Aug 11
The Price Is Right For Yamaha Corporation (TSE:7951) Even After Diving 25%
Yamaha Corporation ( TSE:7951 ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a...Analysis Article • Jul 31
Yamaha (TSE:7951) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥37.00
Yamaha Corporation ( TSE:7951 ) will pay a dividend of ¥37.00 on the 9th of December. The dividend yield will be 2.1...Analysis Article • Jul 18
The Returns On Capital At Yamaha (TSE:7951) Don't Inspire Confidence
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Jul 02
Some May Be Optimistic About Yamaha's (TSE:7951) Earnings
The market for Yamaha Corporation's ( TSE:7951 ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We...Analysis Article • Jun 26
Market Participants Recognise Yamaha Corporation's (TSE:7951) Earnings
Yamaha Corporation's ( TSE:7951 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.9x might make it look like a sell right now...Analysis Article • Jun 11
Here's Why Yamaha (TSE:7951) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • May 26
An Intrinsic Calculation For Yamaha Corporation (TSE:7951) Suggests It's 21% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Yamaha is JP¥4,270 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Analysis Article • May 10
Results: Yamaha Corporation Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
It's been a good week for Yamaha Corporation ( TSE:7951 ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Analysis Article • Apr 12
Yamaha's (TSE:7951) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common...Analysis Article • Mar 11
Yamaha's (TSE:7951) Dividend Will Be ¥37.00
Yamaha Corporation ( TSE:7951 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥37.00 per share on the 26th of June. This...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2029 | 507,500 | 36,450 | 43,453 | 61,203 | 2 |
| 3/31/2028 | 489,217 | 33,271 | 33,711 | 48,875 | 6 |
| 3/31/2027 | 474,983 | 30,067 | 29,113 | 43,829 | 6 |
| 3/31/2026 | 465,330 | 23,720 | 31,647 | 45,777 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 452,404 | 19,252 | 30,433 | 45,785 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 450,310 | 17,844 | 32,520 | 50,929 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 453,822 | 6,315 | 26,351 | 49,276 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 462,080 | 13,351 | 32,347 | 55,281 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 471,768 | 23,211 | 38,578 | 61,874 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 471,372 | 19,959 | 28,905 | 49,283 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 468,816 | 32,572 | 22,122 | 46,148 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 462,866 | 29,642 | 20,916 | 43,836 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 454,977 | 28,898 | 11,526 | 38,317 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 453,029 | 32,324 | -7,990 | 19,178 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 451,717 | 36,080 | -10,830 | 10,188 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 451,410 | 38,183 | -35,567 | -14,841 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 444,087 | 37,257 | -42,323 | -25,841 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 427,708 | 36,625 | -22,740 | -6,326 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 411,621 | 32,434 | -7,207 | 7,082 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 408,197 | 37,255 | 21,486 | 36,016 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 402,658 | 38,996 | 45,249 | 58,091 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 406,325 | 40,965 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 403,308 | 41,837 | 60,177 | 72,339 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 372,630 | 26,615 | 45,653 | 58,225 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 363,915 | 19,524 | 34,828 | 51,810 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 370,506 | 20,586 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 386,496 | 25,522 | 29,286 | 48,535 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 414,227 | 34,621 | 36,689 | 57,162 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 427,469 | 40,456 | N/A | 63,010 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 432,661 | 43,699 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 431,800 | 41,652 | N/A | 43,070 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 437,416 | 43,753 | N/A | 30,234 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 436,800 | 40,837 | N/A | 31,929 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 436,446 | 55,914 | N/A | 42,390 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 436,852 | 54,437 | N/A | 39,975 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 432,967 | 54,378 | N/A | 47,498 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 428,667 | 59,220 | N/A | 45,970 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 418,895 | 39,142 | N/A | 43,379 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 411,098 | 33,565 | N/A | 38,473 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 408,248 | 46,719 | N/A | 39,142 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 408,028 | 39,191 | N/A | 37,725 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 417,178 | 42,437 | N/A | 39,554 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 428,343 | 48,868 | N/A | 38,117 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 435,477 | 32,633 | N/A | 42,399 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 444,690 | 34,723 | N/A | 39,530 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 443,238 | 31,550 | N/A | 33,410 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 438,109 | 27,103 | N/A | 34,899 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 7951's forecast earnings growth (11% per year) is above the savings rate (0.8%).
Earnings vs Market: 7951's earnings (11% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the JP market (8.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 7951's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: 7951's revenue (3.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (5.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 7951's revenue (3.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 7951's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.2%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/22 18:02 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Yamaha Corporation is covered by 20 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Eiichi Katayama | BofA Global Research |
| Citi Research | Citigroup Inc |
| Kota Ezawa | Citigroup Inc |