David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that JVCKENWOOD Corporation (TSE:6632) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for JVCKENWOOD
How Much Debt Does JVCKENWOOD Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that JVCKENWOOD had JP¥58.8b in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has JP¥54.7b in cash leading to net debt of about JP¥4.16b.
How Strong Is JVCKENWOOD's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, JVCKENWOOD had liabilities of JP¥122.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥71.0b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥54.7b and JP¥64.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥74.0b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
JVCKENWOOD has a market capitalization of JP¥132.2b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
JVCKENWOOD's net debt is only 0.14 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 24.8 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It is just as well that JVCKENWOOD's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 54% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine JVCKENWOOD's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, JVCKENWOOD recorded free cash flow of 44% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
While JVCKENWOOD's EBIT growth rate has us nervous. For example, its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that JVCKENWOOD is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for JVCKENWOOD you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6632
JVCKENWOOD
Manufactures and sells products in the mobility and telematics services, public service, and media service sectors in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.