Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Open House Group Co., Ltd. (TSE:3288) Underpins Its Share Price

Published
TSE:3288

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.5x Open House Group Co., Ltd. (TSE:3288) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 15x and even P/E's higher than 23x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Open House Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Open House Group

TSE:3288 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 13th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Open House Group.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Open House Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 44% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 61% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 1.1% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 10% per annum.

In light of this, it's understandable that Open House Group's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Open House Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Open House Group (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Open House Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.