Stock Analysis

Is OYO (TSE:9755) A Risky Investment?

Published
TSE:9755

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that OYO Corporation (TSE:9755) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for OYO

What Is OYO's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 OYO had debt of JP¥5.29b, up from JP¥499.0m in one year. But it also has JP¥24.3b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥19.0b net cash.

TSE:9755 Debt to Equity History August 2nd 2024

How Strong Is OYO's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, OYO had liabilities of JP¥17.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥11.6b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥24.3b and JP¥43.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has JP¥38.8b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that OYO's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, OYO boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that OYO has boosted its EBIT by 47%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since OYO will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. OYO may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, OYO saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that OYO has net cash of JP¥19.0b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 47% over the last year. So is OYO's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for OYO that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.