The board of Kokuyo Co., Ltd. (TSE:7984) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 31st of March, with investors receiving ¥38.00 per share. This will take the annual payment to 2.7% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
View our latest analysis for Kokuyo
Kokuyo's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. However, based ont he last payment, Kokuyo was earning enough to cover the dividend pretty comfortably. The business is returning a large chunk of its cash to shareholders, which means it is not being used to grow the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 11.3% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 43% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥15.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥76.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 18% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
We Could See Kokuyo's Dividend Growing
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Kokuyo has been growing its earnings per share at 9.8% a year over the past five years. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.
In Summary
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Kokuyo will make a great income stock. The company hasn't been paying a very consistent dividend over time, despite only paying out a small portion of earnings. We don't think Kokuyo is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Kokuyo that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7984
Kokuyo
Manufactures, purchases, and sells stationery and office furniture products in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.