Insource Valuation

Is 6200 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6200 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6200 (¥1018) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1602.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6200 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6200?

Key metric: As 6200 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6200. This is calculated by dividing 6200's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6200's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.5x
EarningsJP¥3.36b
Market CapJP¥85.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6200's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6200 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.6x
4849 en-japan
17.1x9.5%JP¥82.2b
2146 UT GroupLtd
8.5x2.2%JP¥78.6b
2124 JAC Recruitment
19.2x19.5%JP¥113.4b
13.5x14.1%JP¥131.7b
6200 Insource
25.5x18.2%JP¥85.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6200 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x) compared to the peer average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6200's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Professional Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2168 Pasona Group
0.8x-152.3%US$485.97m
No more companies available in this PE range
6200 25.5xIndustry Avg. 15.3xNo. of Companies23PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6200 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x) compared to the JP Professional Services industry average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6200's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6200 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6200 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6200 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,018.00
JP¥1,533.33
+50.6%
8.1%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,400.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥951.00
JP¥1,566.67
+64.7%
8.0%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,400.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥1,001.00
JP¥1,566.67
+56.5%
8.0%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,400.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥1,068.00
JP¥1,566.67
+46.7%
8.0%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,400.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥878.00
JP¥1,566.67
+78.4%
8.0%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,400.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥846.00
JP¥1,750.00
+106.9%
2.9%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,700.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥966.00
JP¥1,750.00
+81.2%
2.9%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,700.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥799.00
JP¥1,650.00
+106.5%
9.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥910.00
JP¥1,650.00
+81.3%
9.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥883.00
JP¥1,650.00
+86.9%
9.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥816.00
JP¥1,650.00
+102.2%
9.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥915.00
JP¥1,650.00
+80.3%
9.1%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,500.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥870.00
JP¥1,925.00
+121.3%
1.3%JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥951.002
Oct ’24JP¥1,035.00
JP¥1,850.00
+78.7%
5.8%JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,001.003
Sep ’24JP¥1,091.00
JP¥1,850.00
+69.6%
5.8%JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,068.003
Aug ’24JP¥1,225.00
JP¥1,850.00
+51.0%
5.8%JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥878.003
Jul ’24JP¥1,179.00
JP¥1,883.33
+59.7%
7.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥846.003
Jun ’24JP¥1,210.00
JP¥1,883.33
+55.6%
7.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥966.003
May ’24JP¥1,253.00
JP¥1,883.33
+50.3%
7.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥799.003
Apr ’24JP¥1,346.00
JP¥1,883.33
+39.9%
7.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥910.003
Mar ’24JP¥1,250.00
JP¥1,883.33
+50.7%
7.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥883.003
Feb ’24JP¥1,490.00
JP¥1,883.33
+26.4%
7.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥816.003
Jan ’24JP¥1,555.00
JP¥1,825.00
+17.4%
6.8%JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥884.002
Dec ’23JP¥1,680.00
JP¥1,825.00
+8.6%
6.8%JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥915.002
Nov ’23JP¥1,525.00
JP¥1,900.00
+24.6%
18.4%JP¥2,250.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥870.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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