METAWATER Co., Ltd.

TSE:9551 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥77.2b

METAWATER Valuation

Is 9551 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9551 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9551 (¥1770) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥934.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9551 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9551?

Key metric: As 9551 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9551. This is calculated by dividing 9551's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9551's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.7x
EarningsJP¥6.58b
Market CapJP¥77.24b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9551's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9551 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.9x
5195 Bando Chemical Industries
13x13.3%JP¥75.3b
6282 Oiles
11.9xn/aJP¥73.3b
6284 Nissei ASB Machine
13.5x9.1%JP¥78.3b
6474 Nachi-Fujikoshi
25.1x30.4%JP¥73.8b
9551 METAWATER
11.7x6.6%JP¥77.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9551 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9551's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
9551 11.7xIndustry Avg. 12.3xNo. of Companies37PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9551 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9551's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9551 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ratio10.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9551 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9551 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,770.00
JP¥2,160.00
+22.0%
10.5%JP¥2,480.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥1,763.00
JP¥2,160.00
+22.5%
10.5%JP¥2,480.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥1,805.00
JP¥2,160.00
+19.7%
10.5%JP¥2,480.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥1,761.00
JP¥2,160.00
+22.7%
10.5%JP¥2,480.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥1,854.00
JP¥2,160.00
+16.5%
10.5%JP¥2,480.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥1,942.00
JP¥2,393.33
+23.2%
12.2%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥1,978.00
JP¥2,393.33
+21.0%
12.2%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥1,958.00
JP¥2,393.33
+22.2%
12.2%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥2,265.00
JP¥2,263.33
-0.07%
13.7%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥2,282.00
JP¥2,263.33
-0.8%
13.7%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥2,265.00
JP¥2,263.33
-0.07%
13.7%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥2,187.00
JP¥2,263.33
+3.5%
13.7%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥2,073.00
JP¥2,263.33
+9.2%
13.7%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,000.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥1,938.00
JP¥2,122.50
+9.5%
17.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,763.004
Oct ’24JP¥1,865.00
JP¥2,122.50
+13.8%
17.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,805.004
Sep ’24JP¥1,911.00
JP¥2,122.50
+11.1%
17.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,761.004
Aug ’24JP¥1,841.00
JP¥2,122.50
+15.3%
17.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,854.004
Jul ’24JP¥1,834.00
JP¥2,122.50
+15.7%
17.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,942.004
Jun ’24JP¥1,687.00
JP¥2,122.50
+25.8%
17.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,978.004
May ’24JP¥1,786.00
JP¥2,122.50
+18.8%
17.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,958.004
Apr ’24JP¥1,727.00
JP¥2,122.50
+22.9%
17.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥2,265.004
Mar ’24JP¥1,672.00
JP¥2,133.33
+27.6%
19.6%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥2,282.003
Feb ’24JP¥1,648.00
JP¥2,133.33
+29.4%
19.6%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥2,265.003
Jan ’24JP¥1,626.00
JP¥2,300.00
+41.5%
12.8%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,187.003
Dec ’23JP¥1,760.00
JP¥2,433.33
+38.3%
8.4%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥2,073.003
Nov ’23JP¥1,898.00
JP¥2,433.33
+28.2%
8.4%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,938.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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