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What You Can Learn From ispace, inc.'s (TSE:9348) P/S After Its 53% Share Price Crash
ispace, inc. (TSE:9348) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 53% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 11% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, ispace may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 14.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry in Japan have P/S ratios under 6.6x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for ispace
What Does ispace's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, ispace has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on ispace will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, ispace would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 101% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 32% per year during the coming three years according to the lone analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 20% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that ispace's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On ispace's P/S
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate ispace's very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of ispace's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for ispace (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if ispace might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9348
ispace
A lunar resource development company, engages in designing and building lunar landers and rovers to transport customer payloads to the moon.
Mediocre balance sheet with limited growth.
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