AeroEdge Valuation

Is 7409 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7409 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7409 (¥1830) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥11166.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7409 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7409?

Key metric: As 7409 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7409. This is calculated by dividing 7409's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7409's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10x
EarningsJP¥698.00m
Market CapJP¥7.00b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7409's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7409 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
7408 JAMCO
21.2x22.7%JP¥35.7b
5915 Komaihaltec
8.1xn/aJP¥7.3b
1433 Besterra
21.7xn/aJP¥8.4b
3440 NISSO PRONITY
5.4xn/aJP¥5.9b
7409 AeroEdge
10x25.3%JP¥7.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7409 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7409's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Aerospace & Defense Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7409 10.0xIndustry Avg. 47.9xNo. of Companies9PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7409 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the Asian Aerospace & Defense industry average (48.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7409's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7409 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ratio13.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7409 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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