Taisei Oncho Valuation

Is 1904 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1904 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1904 (¥3965) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥2293.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1904 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1904?

Key metric: As 1904 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1904. This is calculated by dividing 1904's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1904's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.2x
EarningsJP¥2.99b
Market CapJP¥24.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1904's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1904 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.8x
208A KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING HOLDINGS
12.1xn/aJP¥23.3b
1866 Kitano Construction
4.9xn/aJP¥22.7b
1811 Zenitaka
33.3xn/aJP¥24.6b
1810 Matsui Construction
24.8xn/aJP¥24.8b
1904 Taisei Oncho
8.2xn/aJP¥24.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1904 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the peer average (18.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1904's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
1904 8.2xIndustry Avg. 11.2xNo. of Companies23PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1904 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the JP Construction industry average (11.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1904's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1904 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1904's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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