Earnings Working Against MITSUI E&S Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:7003) Share Price Following 33% Dive
MITSUI E&S Co., Ltd. (TSE:7003) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 33% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 13x, you may still consider MITSUI E&S as a highly attractive investment with its 2.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, MITSUI E&S has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for MITSUI E&S
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
MITSUI E&S' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 81% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 5,502% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 33% per annum over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 9.7% each year.
With this information, we are not surprised that MITSUI E&S is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On MITSUI E&S' P/E
MITSUI E&S' P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that MITSUI E&S maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with MITSUI E&S (at least 3 which are significant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7003
MITSUI E&S
Provides marine propulsion systems in Japan, rest of Asia, Europe, North America, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with low risk.
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