Stock Analysis
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
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What Is THK's Debt?
As you can see below, THK had JP¥96.8b of debt at June 2024, down from JP¥108.9b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥154.8b in cash, so it actually has JP¥58.0b net cash.
How Healthy Is THK's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that THK had liabilities of JP¥76.1b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥107.6b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥154.8b as well as receivables valued at JP¥85.6b due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥56.7b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that THK is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that THK has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
It is just as well that THK's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 65% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if THK can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. THK may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, THK created free cash flow amounting to 14% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that THK has net cash of JP¥58.0b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with THK's use of debt. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in THK, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6481
THK
Engages in the manufacture and sale of mechanical components worldwide.