NTN Corporation

TSE:6472 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥131.2b

NTN Valuation

Is 6472 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6472 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6472 (¥247.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥841.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6472 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6472?

Key metric: As 6472 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6472. This is calculated by dividing 6472's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6472's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.4x
EarningsJP¥4.32b
Market CapJP¥131.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6472's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6472 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.1x
6135 Makino Milling Machine
11.1x6.0%JP¥156.9b
6013 Takuma
11.7x0.9%JP¥128.4b
7004 Kanadevia
9.1x10.2%JP¥159.8b
5192 Mitsuboshi Belting
12.4x-10.1%JP¥118.8b
6472 NTN
30.4x54.9%JP¥131.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6472 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x) compared to the peer average (11.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6472's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
6472 30.4xIndustry Avg. 12.3xNo. of Companies39PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6472 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6472's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6472 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.4x
Fair PE Ratio33.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6472 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6472 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥247.80
JP¥279.00
+12.6%
0.7%JP¥280.00JP¥275.00n/a5
Nov ’25JP¥246.40
JP¥279.00
+13.2%
0.7%JP¥280.00JP¥275.00n/a5
Oct ’25JP¥258.80
JP¥296.00
+14.4%
10.8%JP¥360.00JP¥280.00n/a5
Sep ’25JP¥273.30
JP¥302.00
+10.5%
10.3%JP¥360.00JP¥280.00n/a5
Aug ’25JP¥293.80
JP¥343.33
+16.9%
20.4%JP¥490.00JP¥280.00n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥317.70
JP¥343.33
+8.1%
20.4%JP¥490.00JP¥280.00n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥320.00
JP¥338.33
+5.7%
21.4%JP¥490.00JP¥280.00n/a6
May ’25JP¥307.20
JP¥338.33
+10.1%
21.4%JP¥490.00JP¥280.00n/a6
Apr ’25JP¥306.50
JP¥330.00
+7.7%
23.6%JP¥490.00JP¥260.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥323.20
JP¥325.00
+0.6%
25.2%JP¥490.00JP¥250.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥265.40
JP¥292.00
+10.0%
12.9%JP¥360.00JP¥250.00n/a5
Jan ’25JP¥260.00
JP¥296.00
+13.8%
12.2%JP¥360.00JP¥250.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥272.60
JP¥311.67
+14.3%
11.9%JP¥360.00JP¥250.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥281.90
JP¥315.00
+11.7%
13.1%JP¥370.00JP¥250.00JP¥246.406
Oct ’24JP¥284.70
JP¥315.00
+10.6%
13.1%JP¥370.00JP¥250.00JP¥258.806
Sep ’24JP¥292.80
JP¥315.00
+7.6%
13.1%JP¥370.00JP¥250.00JP¥273.306
Aug ’24JP¥316.70
JP¥346.67
+9.5%
9.2%JP¥400.00JP¥310.00JP¥293.806
Jul ’24JP¥303.40
JP¥340.00
+12.1%
9.9%JP¥400.00JP¥300.00JP¥317.707
Jun ’24JP¥278.00
JP¥360.00
+29.5%
11.7%JP¥430.00JP¥300.00JP¥320.007
May ’24JP¥342.00
JP¥422.86
+23.6%
21.9%JP¥600.00JP¥300.00JP¥307.207
Apr ’24JP¥337.00
JP¥422.86
+25.5%
21.9%JP¥600.00JP¥300.00JP¥306.507
Mar ’24JP¥342.00
JP¥371.43
+8.6%
19.8%JP¥500.00JP¥270.00JP¥323.207
Feb ’24JP¥268.00
JP¥352.86
+31.7%
14.1%JP¥410.00JP¥270.00JP¥265.407
Jan ’24JP¥264.00
JP¥355.71
+34.7%
14.7%JP¥410.00JP¥270.00JP¥260.007
Dec ’23JP¥285.00
JP¥330.00
+15.8%
18.3%JP¥410.00JP¥240.00JP¥272.607
Nov ’23JP¥283.00
JP¥330.00
+16.6%
18.3%JP¥410.00JP¥240.00JP¥281.907

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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