Hoshizaki Valuation

Is 6465 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6465 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6465 (¥6011) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥5028.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6465 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6465?

Key metric: As 6465 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6465. This is calculated by dividing 6465's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6465's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.7x
EarningsJP¥33.41b
Market CapJP¥866.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6465's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6465 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.8x
6479 MINEBEA MITSUMI
16.1x2.0%JP¥980.3b
6370 Kurita Water Industries
20.6x9.3%JP¥660.1b
6361 Ebara
15.3x8.4%JP¥1.0t
7012 Kawasaki Heavy Industries
15.3x16.8%JP¥985.9b
6465 Hoshizaki
25.7x7.1%JP¥866.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6465 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6465's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
6465 25.7xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies38PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6465 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6465's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6465 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.7x
Fair PE Ratio15.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6465 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6465 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥6,011.00
JP¥6,248.00
+3.9%
9.4%JP¥7,300.00JP¥5,600.00n/a10
Nov ’25JP¥4,933.00
JP¥6,178.00
+25.2%
8.6%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,500.00n/a10
Oct ’25JP¥5,062.00
JP¥6,178.00
+22.0%
8.6%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,500.00n/a10
Sep ’25JP¥4,697.00
JP¥6,164.00
+31.2%
8.7%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,500.00n/a10
Aug ’25JP¥4,634.00
JP¥6,204.00
+33.9%
9.2%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,500.00n/a10
Jul ’25JP¥5,169.00
JP¥6,115.56
+18.3%
8.7%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,500.00n/a9
Jun ’25JP¥5,630.00
JP¥6,130.00
+8.9%
9.2%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,500.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥5,503.00
JP¥6,077.14
+10.4%
8.9%JP¥6,800.00JP¥5,400.00n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥5,658.00
JP¥6,077.14
+7.4%
8.9%JP¥6,800.00JP¥5,400.00n/a7
Mar ’25JP¥5,068.00
JP¥6,077.14
+19.9%
8.9%JP¥6,800.00JP¥5,400.00n/a7
Feb ’25JP¥5,318.00
JP¥5,978.57
+12.4%
9.0%JP¥6,800.00JP¥5,200.00n/a7
Jan ’25JP¥5,161.00
JP¥5,935.71
+15.0%
8.6%JP¥6,800.00JP¥5,200.00n/a7
Dec ’24JP¥4,714.00
JP¥5,961.11
+26.5%
10.1%JP¥7,300.00JP¥5,200.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥4,886.00
JP¥6,025.00
+23.3%
10.0%JP¥7,300.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥4,933.0010
Oct ’24JP¥5,195.00
JP¥6,015.00
+15.8%
10.2%JP¥7,300.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥5,062.0010
Sep ’24JP¥5,743.00
JP¥5,995.00
+4.4%
10.0%JP¥7,300.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥4,697.0010
Aug ’24JP¥5,456.00
JP¥5,781.00
+6.0%
7.7%JP¥6,500.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥4,634.0010
Jul ’24JP¥5,156.00
JP¥5,719.09
+10.9%
7.8%JP¥6,500.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥5,169.0011
Jun ’24JP¥5,040.00
JP¥5,719.09
+13.5%
7.8%JP¥6,500.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥5,630.0011
May ’24JP¥4,830.00
JP¥5,519.09
+14.3%
8.0%JP¥6,100.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥5,503.0011
Apr ’24JP¥4,885.00
JP¥5,510.00
+12.8%
8.1%JP¥6,100.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥5,658.0011
Mar ’24JP¥4,855.00
JP¥5,382.73
+10.9%
9.1%JP¥6,100.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥5,068.0011
Feb ’24JP¥4,600.00
JP¥5,116.36
+11.2%
11.4%JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥5,318.0011
Jan ’24JP¥4,655.00
JP¥5,068.00
+8.9%
11.6%JP¥6,000.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥5,161.0010
Dec ’23JP¥4,535.00
JP¥4,783.00
+5.5%
10.2%JP¥5,530.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,714.0010
Nov ’23JP¥4,235.00
JP¥4,624.50
+9.2%
9.5%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,886.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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