Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.

TSE:6305 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥718.3b

Hitachi Construction Machinery Valuation

Is 6305 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6305 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6305 (¥3377) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥7397.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6305 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6305?

Key metric: As 6305 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6305. This is calculated by dividing 6305's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6305's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.2x
EarningsJP¥78.27b
Market CapJP¥718.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6305's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6305 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.2x
6432 Takeuchi Mfg
7.5x-2.6%JP¥228.6b
6395 Tadano
12.7x7.6%JP¥147.3b
6201 Toyota Industries
14.9x7.5%JP¥3.5t
6301 Komatsu
9.8x4.4%JP¥3.8t
6305 Hitachi Construction Machinery
9.2x9.3%JP¥718.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6305 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (11.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6305's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
6305 9.2xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies39PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6305 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6305's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6305 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ratio16.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6305 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6305 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,377.00
JP¥3,986.36
+18.0%
19.2%JP¥5,450.00JP¥3,000.00n/a11
Nov ’25JP¥3,348.00
JP¥4,031.82
+20.4%
18.5%JP¥5,450.00JP¥3,000.00n/a11
Oct ’25JP¥3,554.00
JP¥4,250.00
+19.6%
18.3%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,000.00n/a11
Sep ’25JP¥3,550.00
JP¥4,322.73
+21.8%
16.5%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,300.00n/a11
Aug ’25JP¥3,584.00
JP¥4,904.55
+36.8%
9.4%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,200.00n/a11
Jul ’25JP¥4,403.00
JP¥5,054.55
+14.8%
10.2%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,200.00n/a11
Jun ’25JP¥4,250.00
JP¥5,054.55
+18.9%
10.2%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,200.00n/a11
May ’25JP¥4,437.00
JP¥5,054.55
+13.9%
10.2%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,200.00n/a11
Apr ’25JP¥4,587.00
JP¥4,922.73
+7.3%
10.7%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,200.00n/a11
Mar ’25JP¥4,402.00
JP¥4,809.09
+9.2%
11.3%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,050.00n/a11
Feb ’25JP¥4,047.00
JP¥4,636.36
+14.6%
10.0%JP¥5,450.00JP¥4,000.00n/a11
Jan ’25JP¥3,727.00
JP¥4,686.36
+25.7%
9.1%JP¥5,450.00JP¥4,000.00n/a11
Dec ’24JP¥3,842.00
JP¥4,837.50
+25.9%
11.3%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,000.00n/a12
Nov ’24JP¥3,873.00
JP¥4,973.33
+28.4%
13.0%JP¥6,800.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,348.0012
Oct ’24JP¥4,546.00
JP¥4,969.17
+9.3%
12.6%JP¥6,800.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,554.0012
Sep ’24JP¥4,605.00
JP¥4,777.50
+3.7%
15.7%JP¥6,800.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,550.0012
Aug ’24JP¥4,381.00
JP¥4,519.17
+3.2%
11.0%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,584.0012
Jul ’24JP¥4,028.00
JP¥4,148.46
+3.0%
11.7%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,350.00JP¥4,403.0013
Jun ’24JP¥3,455.00
JP¥3,952.31
+14.4%
14.0%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,250.0013
May ’24JP¥3,380.00
JP¥3,759.23
+11.2%
13.0%JP¥4,780.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,437.0013
Apr ’24JP¥3,075.00
JP¥3,687.69
+19.9%
12.7%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,200.00JP¥4,587.0013
Mar ’24JP¥3,180.00
JP¥3,591.54
+12.9%
13.7%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,402.0013
Feb ’24JP¥3,015.00
JP¥3,606.92
+19.6%
13.4%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,047.0013
Jan ’24JP¥2,959.00
JP¥3,591.54
+21.4%
14.1%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,727.0013
Dec ’23JP¥3,180.00
JP¥3,591.54
+12.9%
14.1%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥3,842.0013
Nov ’23JP¥2,961.00
JP¥3,469.23
+17.2%
11.9%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,873.0013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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