Toyota Industries Corporation

TSE:6201 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥4.7t

Toyota Industries Valuation

Is 6201 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6201 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6201 (¥15065) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥10225.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6201 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6201?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

6201 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.8x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6201's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6201 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
6301 Komatsu
11x3.7%JP¥4.5t
6305 Hitachi Construction Machinery
9x4.2%JP¥965.1b
6432 Takeuchi Mfg
10.7x2.0%JP¥287.0b
7205 Hino Motors
15.2x27.9%JP¥264.5b
6201 Toyota Industries
20.4x9.4%JP¥4.7t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6201 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6201's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.5%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.5%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6201 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6201's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6201 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.4x
Fair PE Ratio24.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6201 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6201 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥15,065.00
JP¥15,346.15
+1.9%
15.2%JP¥20,000.00JP¥12,400.00n/a13
Apr ’25JP¥14,120.00
JP¥14,088.46
-0.2%
19.6%JP¥19,600.00JP¥9,650.00n/a13
Mar ’25JP¥15,315.00
JP¥12,988.46
-15.2%
13.6%JP¥15,800.00JP¥9,650.00n/a13
Feb ’25JP¥12,570.00
JP¥12,629.17
+0.5%
15.3%JP¥15,800.00JP¥9,300.00n/a12
Jan ’25JP¥11,500.00
JP¥12,296.43
+6.9%
15.6%JP¥15,800.00JP¥9,300.00n/a14
Dec ’24JP¥12,920.00
JP¥11,963.33
-7.4%
14.3%JP¥15,800.00JP¥9,300.00n/a15
Nov ’24JP¥11,715.00
JP¥11,403.33
-2.7%
15.4%JP¥14,800.00JP¥9,300.00n/a15
Oct ’24JP¥11,775.00
JP¥11,050.00
-6.2%
13.9%JP¥14,500.00JP¥9,200.00n/a15
Sep ’24JP¥10,370.00
JP¥10,590.00
+2.1%
11.3%JP¥13,400.00JP¥9,200.00n/a15
Aug ’24JP¥10,595.00
JP¥10,143.33
-4.3%
14.7%JP¥13,400.00JP¥8,100.00n/a15
Jul ’24JP¥10,255.00
JP¥9,453.33
-7.8%
16.3%JP¥13,400.00JP¥7,100.00n/a15
Jun ’24JP¥8,750.00
JP¥8,310.71
-5.0%
8.2%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,100.00n/a14
May ’24JP¥7,960.00
JP¥8,089.29
+1.6%
9.8%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,100.00JP¥15,065.0014
Apr ’24JP¥7,350.00
JP¥8,157.69
+11.0%
9.1%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,100.00JP¥14,120.0013
Mar ’24JP¥8,170.00
JP¥9,246.15
+13.2%
14.0%JP¥13,000.00JP¥7,300.00JP¥15,315.0013
Feb ’24JP¥7,870.00
JP¥9,238.46
+17.4%
14.3%JP¥13,000.00JP¥7,300.00JP¥12,570.0013
Jan ’24JP¥7,240.00
JP¥9,375.00
+29.5%
13.9%JP¥13,000.00JP¥7,700.00JP¥11,500.0012
Dec ’23JP¥7,780.00
JP¥9,423.08
+21.1%
13.4%JP¥13,000.00JP¥7,700.00JP¥12,920.0013
Nov ’23JP¥7,660.00
JP¥9,464.29
+23.6%
12.9%JP¥13,000.00JP¥7,700.00JP¥11,715.0014
Oct ’23JP¥6,880.00
JP¥9,542.86
+38.7%
12.4%JP¥13,000.00JP¥7,700.00JP¥11,775.0014
Sep ’23JP¥7,650.00
JP¥9,985.71
+30.5%
10.9%JP¥13,000.00JP¥8,000.00JP¥10,370.0014
Aug ’23JP¥7,960.00
JP¥10,150.00
+27.5%
11.3%JP¥13,000.00JP¥8,000.00JP¥10,595.0014
Jul ’23JP¥8,010.00
JP¥10,430.77
+30.2%
11.2%JP¥13,000.00JP¥8,300.00JP¥10,255.0013
Jun ’23JP¥8,590.00
JP¥10,584.62
+23.2%
11.2%JP¥13,000.00JP¥8,300.00JP¥8,750.0013
May ’23JP¥7,790.00
JP¥10,700.00
+37.4%
12.8%JP¥13,000.00JP¥8,300.00JP¥7,960.0012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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