Toyota Industries Corporation

TSE:6201 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥3.5t

Toyota Industries Valuation

Is 6201 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6201 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6201 (¥11575) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥7211.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6201 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6201?

Key metric: As 6201 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6201. This is calculated by dividing 6201's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6201's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.9x
EarningsJP¥237.39b
Market CapJP¥3.46t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6201's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6201 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.8x
6301 Komatsu
9.7x4.0%JP¥3.8t
6305 Hitachi Construction Machinery
9.2x9.5%JP¥719.4b
6432 Takeuchi Mfg
7.8x-2.8%JP¥235.0b
6395 Tadano
12.7x7.6%JP¥149.3b
6201 Toyota Industries
14.9x7.5%JP¥3.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6201 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6201's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
6201 14.9xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies35PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6201 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the JP Machinery industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6201's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6201 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.9x
Fair PE Ratio20x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6201 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6201 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥11,575.00
JP¥13,328.57
+15.1%
11.3%JP¥16,600.00JP¥11,100.00n/a14
Nov ’25JP¥10,205.00
JP¥13,328.57
+30.6%
11.3%JP¥16,600.00JP¥11,100.00n/a14
Oct ’25JP¥11,365.00
JP¥13,885.71
+22.2%
14.3%JP¥19,000.00JP¥11,500.00n/a14
Sep ’25JP¥11,440.00
JP¥14,350.00
+25.4%
14.3%JP¥19,000.00JP¥11,500.00n/a14
Aug ’25JP¥11,850.00
JP¥14,684.62
+23.9%
13.3%JP¥19,000.00JP¥12,300.00n/a13
Jul ’25JP¥13,700.00
JP¥15,291.67
+11.6%
14.7%JP¥20,000.00JP¥12,400.00n/a12
Jun ’25JP¥14,800.00
JP¥15,430.77
+4.3%
14.8%JP¥20,000.00JP¥12,400.00n/a13
May ’25JP¥15,065.00
JP¥15,346.15
+1.9%
15.2%JP¥20,000.00JP¥12,400.00n/a13
Apr ’25JP¥14,120.00
JP¥14,088.46
-0.2%
19.6%JP¥19,600.00JP¥9,650.00n/a13
Mar ’25JP¥15,315.00
JP¥12,988.46
-15.2%
13.6%JP¥15,800.00JP¥9,650.00n/a13
Feb ’25JP¥12,570.00
JP¥12,629.17
+0.5%
15.3%JP¥15,800.00JP¥9,300.00n/a12
Jan ’25JP¥11,500.00
JP¥12,296.43
+6.9%
15.6%JP¥15,800.00JP¥9,300.00n/a14
Dec ’24JP¥12,920.00
JP¥11,963.33
-7.4%
14.3%JP¥15,800.00JP¥9,300.00n/a15
Nov ’24JP¥11,715.00
JP¥11,403.33
-2.7%
15.4%JP¥14,800.00JP¥9,300.00JP¥10,205.0015
Oct ’24JP¥11,775.00
JP¥11,050.00
-6.2%
13.9%JP¥14,500.00JP¥9,200.00JP¥11,365.0015
Sep ’24JP¥10,370.00
JP¥10,590.00
+2.1%
11.3%JP¥13,400.00JP¥9,200.00JP¥11,440.0015
Aug ’24JP¥10,595.00
JP¥10,143.33
-4.3%
14.7%JP¥13,400.00JP¥8,100.00JP¥11,850.0015
Jul ’24JP¥10,255.00
JP¥9,453.33
-7.8%
16.3%JP¥13,400.00JP¥7,100.00JP¥13,700.0015
Jun ’24JP¥8,750.00
JP¥8,310.71
-5.0%
8.2%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,100.00JP¥14,800.0014
May ’24JP¥7,960.00
JP¥8,089.29
+1.6%
9.8%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,100.00JP¥15,065.0014
Apr ’24JP¥7,350.00
JP¥8,157.69
+11.0%
9.1%JP¥10,000.00JP¥7,100.00JP¥14,120.0013
Mar ’24JP¥8,170.00
JP¥9,246.15
+13.2%
14.0%JP¥13,000.00JP¥7,300.00JP¥15,315.0013
Feb ’24JP¥7,870.00
JP¥9,238.46
+17.4%
14.3%JP¥13,000.00JP¥7,300.00JP¥12,570.0013
Jan ’24JP¥7,240.00
JP¥9,375.00
+29.5%
13.9%JP¥13,000.00JP¥7,700.00JP¥11,500.0012
Dec ’23JP¥7,780.00
JP¥9,423.08
+21.1%
13.4%JP¥13,000.00JP¥7,700.00JP¥12,920.0013
Nov ’23JP¥7,660.00
JP¥9,464.29
+23.6%
12.9%JP¥13,000.00JP¥7,700.00JP¥11,715.0014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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