The board of Zuiko Corporation (TSE:6279) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥6.00 per share on the 19th of May. Although the dividend is now higher, the yield is only 1.1%, which is below the industry average.
Zuiko's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable
While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. Prior to this announcement, the dividend made up 125% of earnings, and the company was generating negative free cash flows. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.
EPS is set to fall by 30.4% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 233%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
View our latest analysis for Zuiko
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥17.50 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥11.00. The dividend has shrunk at around 4.5% a year during that period. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 30% over the last five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.
We're Not Big Fans Of Zuiko's Dividend
In summary, investors will like to be receiving a higher dividend, but we have some questions about whether it can be sustained over the long term. The company isn't making enough to be paying as much as it is, and the other factors don't look particularly promising either. We don't think that this is a great candidate to be an income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Zuiko you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zuiko might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6279
Zuiko
Designs, develops, manufactures, sells, and maintains disposable hygiene product manufacturing systems in Japan and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with low risk.
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