Stock Analysis
Union Tool Co.'s (TSE:6278) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥45.00 per share on 31st of March. Although the dividend is now higher, the yield is only 1.3%, which is below the industry average.
See our latest analysis for Union Tool
Union Tool's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. But before making this announcement, Union Tool's earnings quite easily covered the dividend. However, with more than 75% of free cash flow being paid out to shareholders, future growth could potentially be constrained.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 21.5%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 35% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥34.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥90.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 10% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
The Dividend Has Growth Potential
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's encouraging to see that Union Tool has been growing its earnings per share at 7.7% a year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.
Our Thoughts On Union Tool's Dividend
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Union Tool will make a great income stock. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments Union Tool has been making. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Union Tool that you should be aware of before investing. Is Union Tool not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6278
Union Tool
Engages in the production and sale of cutting tools, linear motion products, and metal machining equipment in Japan and internationally.