Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Noritz Corporation (TSE:5943) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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How Much Debt Does Noritz Carry?
As you can see below, Noritz had JP¥2.71b of debt at March 2024, down from JP¥4.45b a year prior. However, it does have JP¥29.2b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥26.5b.
How Healthy Is Noritz's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Noritz had liabilities of JP¥65.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥16.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥29.2b in cash and JP¥50.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥1.67b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Noritz has a market capitalization of JP¥76.0b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Noritz also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Noritz if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 70% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Noritz's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Noritz has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last two years, Noritz saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Summing Up
We could understand if investors are concerned about Noritz's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of JP¥26.5b. So while Noritz does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Noritz is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:5943
Noritz
Engages in the manufacture and sale of household appliances and equipment worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.