Nichias Corporation

TSE:5393 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥369.6b

Nichias Valuation

Is 5393 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5393 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
JP¥8.96k
Fair Value
35.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 5393 (¥5760) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥8962.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5393 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5393?

Key metric: As 5393 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5393. This is calculated by dividing 5393's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5393's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.2x
EarningsJP¥30.10b
Market CapJP¥369.56b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5393's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5393 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46.3x
1969 Takasago Thermal Engineering
16.6x3.90%JP¥575.4b
5938 LIXIL
82.2x32.29%JP¥563.4b
5332 TOTO
68x25.06%JP¥661.8b
3110 Nitto Boseki
18.2x13.03%JP¥232.3b
5393 Nichias
12.2x3.76%JP¥367.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5393 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the peer average (46.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5393's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
5393 12.2xIndustry Avg. 15.9xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5393 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the JP Building industry average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5393's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5393 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.2x
Fair PE Ratio13.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5393 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5393 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥5,760.00
JP¥6,166.67
+7.06%
2.76%JP¥6,400.00JP¥6,000.00n/a3
Aug ’26JP¥5,855.00
JP¥5,800.00
-0.94%
4.22%JP¥6,100.00JP¥5,500.00n/a3
Jul ’26JP¥5,551.00
JP¥5,700.00
+2.68%
2.48%JP¥5,800.00JP¥5,500.00n/a3
Jun ’26JP¥5,003.00
JP¥5,700.00
+13.93%
2.48%JP¥5,800.00JP¥5,500.00n/a3
May ’26JP¥4,804.00
JP¥5,933.33
+23.51%
7.06%JP¥6,500.00JP¥5,500.00n/a3
Apr ’26JP¥4,620.00
JP¥6,100.00
+32.03%
7.08%JP¥6,500.00JP¥5,500.00n/a3
Mar ’26JP¥4,485.00
JP¥6,500.00
+44.93%
2.51%JP¥6,700.00JP¥6,300.00n/a3
Feb ’26JP¥5,102.00
JP¥6,500.00
+27.40%
2.51%JP¥6,700.00JP¥6,300.00n/a3
Jan ’26JP¥5,598.00
JP¥6,500.00
+16.11%
2.51%JP¥6,700.00JP¥6,300.00n/a3
Dec ’25JP¥5,798.00
JP¥6,400.00
+10.38%
3.38%JP¥6,700.00JP¥6,200.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥5,413.00
JP¥6,166.67
+13.92%
2.02%JP¥6,300.00JP¥6,000.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥5,810.00
JP¥6,100.00
+4.99%
1.64%JP¥6,200.00JP¥6,000.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥5,660.00
JP¥6,100.00
+7.77%
1.64%JP¥6,200.00JP¥6,000.00JP¥5,747.002
Aug ’25JP¥4,705.00
JP¥5,150.00
+9.46%
2.91%JP¥5,300.00JP¥5,000.00JP¥5,855.002
Jul ’25JP¥4,755.00
JP¥4,566.67
-3.96%
18.26%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥5,551.003
Jun ’25JP¥4,755.00
JP¥4,200.00
-11.67%
15.55%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥5,003.003
May ’25JP¥4,250.00
JP¥4,100.00
-3.53%
13.06%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,804.003
Apr ’25JP¥3,995.00
JP¥4,100.00
+2.63%
13.06%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,620.003
Mar ’25JP¥3,920.00
JP¥3,700.00
-5.61%
9.62%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,485.003
Feb ’25JP¥3,440.00
JP¥3,500.00
+1.74%
2.33%JP¥3,600.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥5,102.003
Jan ’25JP¥3,390.00
JP¥3,500.00
+3.24%
2.33%JP¥3,600.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥5,598.003
Dec ’24JP¥3,160.00
JP¥3,350.00
+6.01%
8.53%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,950.00JP¥5,798.003
Nov ’24JP¥3,040.00
JP¥3,350.00
+10.20%
8.53%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,950.00JP¥5,413.003
Oct ’24JP¥3,065.00
JP¥3,350.00
+9.30%
8.53%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,950.00JP¥5,810.003
Sep ’24JP¥3,055.00
JP¥3,350.00
+9.66%
8.53%JP¥3,600.00JP¥2,950.00JP¥5,660.003
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
JP¥6.17k
Fair Value
6.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/09/04 14:29
End of Day Share Price 2025/09/04 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Nichias Corporation is covered by 4 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullCompany Forecast
Noritsugu HirakawaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Hiroshi MatsudaMizuho Securities Co., Ltd.