Takasago Thermal Engineering Co., Ltd.

TSE:1969 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥320.9b

Takasago Thermal Engineering Valuation

Is 1969 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1969 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1969 (¥4835) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥3164.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1969 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1969?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1969 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.3x
PEG Ratio5.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1969's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1969 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.8x
5393 Nichias
11.4x6.0%JP¥271.0b
5929 Sanwa Holdings
14x2.6%JP¥586.1b
5938 LIXIL
33.2x32.7%JP¥553.2b
5332 Toto
24.7x11.3%JP¥719.7b
1969 Takasago Thermal Engineering
16.6x3.2%JP¥320.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1969 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (20.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1969's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1969 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the JP Building industry average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1969's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1969 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1969 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1969 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,835.00
JP¥4,583.33
-5.2%
23.6%JP¥6,600.00JP¥3,050.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥4,300.00
JP¥4,250.00
-1.2%
30.6%JP¥6,600.00JP¥3,050.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥3,430.00
JP¥3,516.67
+2.5%
16.3%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,050.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥3,220.00
JP¥3,600.00
+11.8%
16.5%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,050.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥3,050.00
JP¥3,416.67
+12.0%
19.9%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,500.00n/a6
Nov ’24JP¥3,060.00
JP¥3,133.33
+2.4%
14.4%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,500.00n/a6
Oct ’24JP¥2,906.00
JP¥3,016.67
+3.8%
17.9%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,350.00n/a6
Sep ’24JP¥2,959.00
JP¥2,933.33
-0.9%
21.9%JP¥3,900.00JP¥2,000.00n/a6
Aug ’24JP¥2,583.00
JP¥2,500.00
-3.2%
14.5%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,000.00n/a6
Jul ’24JP¥2,410.00
JP¥2,500.00
+3.7%
14.5%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,000.00n/a6
Jun ’24JP¥2,369.00
JP¥2,441.67
+3.1%
16.2%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,900.00n/a6
May ’24JP¥2,349.00
JP¥2,400.00
+2.2%
15.3%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,900.00n/a6
Apr ’24JP¥2,109.00
JP¥2,400.00
+13.8%
15.3%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,900.00n/a6
Mar ’24JP¥2,132.00
JP¥2,258.33
+5.9%
19.0%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,750.00JP¥4,300.006
Feb ’24JP¥1,845.00
JP¥2,013.33
+9.1%
11.5%JP¥2,350.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥3,430.006
Jan ’24JP¥1,783.00
JP¥2,013.33
+12.9%
11.5%JP¥2,350.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥3,220.006
Dec ’23JP¥1,763.00
JP¥1,825.00
+3.5%
11.0%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥3,050.004
Nov ’23JP¥1,802.00
JP¥1,812.50
+0.6%
11.4%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥3,060.004
Oct ’23JP¥1,701.00
JP¥1,812.50
+6.6%
11.4%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥2,906.004
Sep ’23JP¥1,643.00
JP¥1,716.67
+4.5%
8.4%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,550.00JP¥2,959.003
Aug ’23JP¥1,687.00
JP¥1,733.33
+2.7%
7.2%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,583.003
Jul ’23JP¥1,592.00
JP¥1,733.33
+8.9%
7.2%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,410.003
Jun ’23JP¥1,598.00
JP¥1,916.67
+19.9%
9.6%JP¥2,150.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥2,369.003
May ’23JP¥1,699.00
JP¥2,016.67
+18.7%
5.1%JP¥2,150.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,349.003
Apr ’23JP¥1,757.00
JP¥2,016.67
+14.8%
5.1%JP¥2,150.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,109.003
Mar ’23JP¥1,911.00
JP¥2,016.67
+5.5%
5.1%JP¥2,150.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,132.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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