Taikisha Valuation

Is 1979 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1979 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1979 (¥4720) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥5585.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1979 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1979?

Key metric: As 1979 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1979. This is calculated by dividing 1979's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1979's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.4x
EarningsJP¥14.65b
Market CapJP¥153.05b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1979's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1979 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.2x
1980 Dai-Dan
13.6x4.8%JP¥164.5b
1961 Sanki Engineering
13.7x10.7%JP¥163.9b
1893 Penta-Ocean Construction
9.2x10.4%JP¥175.0b
1833 Okumura
12.3xn/aJP¥140.9b
1979 Taikisha
10.4x-2.3%JP¥153.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1979 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the peer average (12.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1979's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
1979 10.4xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies20PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1979 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the JP Construction industry average (11.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1979's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1979 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.4x
Fair PE Ratio9.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1979 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1979 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,720.00
JP¥5,338.33
+13.1%
9.9%JP¥6,400.00JP¥4,800.00n/a6
Dec ’25JP¥4,690.00
JP¥5,338.33
+13.8%
9.9%JP¥6,400.00JP¥4,800.00n/a6
Nov ’25JP¥4,855.00
JP¥5,338.33
+10.0%
9.9%JP¥6,400.00JP¥4,800.00n/a6
Oct ’25JP¥4,965.00
JP¥5,338.33
+7.5%
9.9%JP¥6,400.00JP¥4,800.00n/a6
Sep ’25JP¥4,915.00
JP¥5,338.33
+8.6%
9.9%JP¥6,400.00JP¥4,800.00n/a6
Aug ’25JP¥5,040.00
JP¥5,338.33
+5.9%
9.9%JP¥6,400.00JP¥4,800.00n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥5,300.00
JP¥5,271.67
-0.5%
10.7%JP¥6,400.00JP¥4,800.00n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥5,220.00
JP¥5,063.33
-3.0%
5.6%JP¥5,600.00JP¥4,800.00n/a6
May ’25JP¥4,665.00
JP¥5,063.33
+8.5%
5.6%JP¥5,600.00JP¥4,800.00n/a6
Apr ’25JP¥4,530.00
JP¥4,980.00
+9.9%
8.0%JP¥5,600.00JP¥4,300.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥4,690.00
JP¥4,863.33
+3.7%
7.7%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,300.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥4,415.00
JP¥4,730.00
+7.1%
8.1%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,300.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥4,085.00
JP¥4,576.00
+12.0%
4.1%JP¥4,880.00JP¥4,300.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥4,280.00
JP¥4,730.00
+10.5%
8.1%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,300.00JP¥4,690.006
Nov ’24JP¥4,470.00
JP¥4,680.00
+4.7%
8.9%JP¥5,500.00JP¥4,300.00JP¥4,855.006
Oct ’24JP¥4,520.00
JP¥4,483.33
-0.8%
12.0%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,700.00JP¥4,965.006
Sep ’24JP¥4,620.00
JP¥4,116.67
-10.9%
9.1%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,915.006
Aug ’24JP¥4,190.00
JP¥3,900.00
-6.9%
9.2%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥5,040.006
Jul ’24JP¥4,100.00
JP¥3,900.00
-4.9%
9.2%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥5,300.006
Jun ’24JP¥3,655.00
JP¥3,866.67
+5.8%
9.3%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥5,220.006
May ’24JP¥3,780.00
JP¥3,866.67
+2.3%
9.3%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,665.006
Apr ’24JP¥3,680.00
JP¥3,780.00
+2.7%
8.8%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,530.005
Mar ’24JP¥3,550.00
JP¥3,780.00
+6.5%
8.8%JP¥4,400.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,690.005
Feb ’24JP¥3,440.00
JP¥3,740.00
+8.7%
7.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,415.005
Jan ’24JP¥3,335.00
JP¥3,740.00
+12.1%
7.9%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,085.005
Dec ’23JP¥3,520.00
JP¥3,625.00
+3.0%
4.5%JP¥3,900.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,280.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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