Raito Kogyo Valuation

Is 1926 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1926 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1926 (¥2167) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3340.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1926 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1926?

Key metric: As 1926 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1926. This is calculated by dividing 1926's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1926's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.9x
EarningsJP¥8.36b
Market CapJP¥99.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1926's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1926 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.6x
1968 Taihei Dengyo Kaisha
10.9x4.6%JP¥102.2b
1934 Yurtec
12xn/aJP¥104.3b
1950 Nippon Densetsu Kogyo
10.9x4.7%JP¥106.7b
9161 Integrated Design & Engineering HoldingsLtd
12.6xn/aJP¥97.8b
1926 Raito Kogyo
11.9x6.4%JP¥99.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1926 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the peer average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1926's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
1926 11.9xIndustry Avg. 11.3xNo. of Companies28PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1926 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the JP Construction industry average (11.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1926's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1926 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.9x
Fair PE Ratio11x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1926 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1926 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,167.00
JP¥2,160.00
-0.3%
9.1%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,800.00n/a5
Nov ’25JP¥2,190.00
JP¥2,180.00
-0.5%
9.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,800.00n/a5
Oct ’25JP¥2,227.00
JP¥2,180.00
-2.1%
9.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,800.00n/a5
Sep ’25JP¥2,174.00
JP¥2,180.00
+0.3%
9.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,800.00n/a5
Aug ’25JP¥2,116.00
JP¥2,180.00
+3.0%
9.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,800.00n/a5
Jul ’25JP¥2,113.00
JP¥2,190.00
+3.6%
9.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,800.00n/a5
Jun ’25JP¥2,010.00
JP¥2,170.00
+8.0%
11.4%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,700.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥2,074.00
JP¥2,120.00
+2.2%
11.4%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,700.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥2,053.00
JP¥2,120.00
+3.3%
11.4%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,700.00n/a5
Mar ’25JP¥1,899.00
JP¥2,100.00
+10.6%
11.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,700.00n/a5
Feb ’25JP¥2,056.00
JP¥2,230.00
+8.5%
11.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,850.00n/a5
Jan ’25JP¥1,890.00
JP¥2,325.00
+23.0%
7.5%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,050.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥1,983.00
JP¥2,260.00
+14.0%
9.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00n/a5
Nov ’24JP¥1,962.00
JP¥2,260.00
+15.2%
9.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,190.005
Oct ’24JP¥2,063.00
JP¥2,250.00
+9.1%
10.1%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,227.004
Sep ’24JP¥2,034.00
JP¥2,250.00
+10.6%
10.1%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,174.004
Aug ’24JP¥2,052.00
JP¥2,250.00
+9.6%
10.1%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,116.004
Jul ’24JP¥1,982.00
JP¥2,316.67
+16.9%
9.7%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,113.003
Jun ’24JP¥1,907.00
JP¥2,310.00
+21.1%
8.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,010.005
May ’24JP¥2,011.00
JP¥2,310.00
+14.9%
8.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,074.005
Apr ’24JP¥1,951.00
JP¥2,310.00
+18.4%
8.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,053.005
Mar ’24JP¥1,958.00
JP¥2,300.00
+17.5%
8.8%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,899.005
Feb ’24JP¥1,877.00
JP¥2,290.00
+22.0%
8.6%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥2,056.005
Jan ’24JP¥1,893.00
JP¥2,290.00
+21.0%
8.6%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,890.005
Dec ’23JP¥2,016.00
JP¥2,290.00
+13.6%
8.6%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,983.005
Nov ’23JP¥1,996.00
JP¥2,150.00
+7.7%
7.5%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,962.005

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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