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There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Yahagi ConstructionLtd's (TSE:1870) Earnings
Yahagi Construction Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:1870) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.
Examining Cashflow Against Yahagi ConstructionLtd's Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to September 2025, Yahagi ConstructionLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.24. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of JP¥10.4b, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through JP¥10b in the last year. It's worth noting that Yahagi ConstructionLtd generated positive FCF of JP¥5.1b a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Yahagi ConstructionLtd's Profit Performance
Yahagi ConstructionLtd's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Yahagi ConstructionLtd's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Yahagi ConstructionLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Yahagi ConstructionLtd (of which 2 are significant!) you should know about.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Yahagi ConstructionLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:1870
Yahagi ConstructionLtd
Engages in the construction, civil engineering, and real estate business in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.
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