Shimizu Bank Valuation

Is 8364 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8364 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8364 (¥1485) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥2069.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8364 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8364?

Key metric: As 8364 is an unprofitable bank we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for 8364. This is calculated by dividing 8364's market cap by their current book value.
What is 8364's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.2x
BookJP¥76.48b
Market CapJP¥17.14b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does 8364's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for 8364 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.2x
8338 Tsukuba Bank
0.2xn/aJP¥19.8b
8537 Taiko BankLtd
0.2xn/aJP¥13.7b
8558 Towa Bank
0.2xn/aJP¥23.4b
8542 Tomato Bank
0.2xn/aJP¥13.0b
8364 Shimizu Bank
0.2xn/aJP¥17.1b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: 8364 is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.2x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does 8364's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7161 Jimoto Holdings
0.1xn/aUS$53.02m
8560 Miyazaki Taiyo Bank
0.1xn/aUS$42.09m
No more companies available in this PB range
8364 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies29PB00.61.21.82.43+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: 8364 is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.2x) compared to the JP Banks industry average (0.3x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8364's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8364 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.2x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 8364's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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