Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Toyoda Gosei (TSE:7282) Is Using Debt Safely

TSE:7282
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. (TSE:7282) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Toyoda Gosei

What Is Toyoda Gosei's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Toyoda Gosei had JP¥138.4b of debt in March 2024, down from JP¥163.0b, one year before. However, it does have JP¥155.0b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥16.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:7282 Debt to Equity History May 27th 2024

How Healthy Is Toyoda Gosei's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Toyoda Gosei had liabilities of JP¥216.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥149.7b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥155.0b in cash and JP¥183.9b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥27.8b.

Given Toyoda Gosei has a market capitalization of JP¥381.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Toyoda Gosei also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

On top of that, Toyoda Gosei grew its EBIT by 75% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Toyoda Gosei's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Toyoda Gosei may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Toyoda Gosei's free cash flow amounted to 47% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Toyoda Gosei has JP¥16.6b in net cash. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 75% over the last year. So we don't think Toyoda Gosei's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Toyoda Gosei you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Toyoda Gosei is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.