The board of Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. (TSE:7272) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥25.00 per share on the 26th of March. The dividend yield will be 4.5% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
Yamaha Motor's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 101% of what it was earning. It will be difficult to sustain this level of payout so we wouldn't be confident about this continuing.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 25.0%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 90%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.
View our latest analysis for Yamaha Motor
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ¥11.67 total annually to ¥50.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Yamaha Motor's Dividend Might Lack Growth
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Yamaha Motor has impressed us by growing EPS at 20% per year over the past five years. However, the payout ratio is very high, not leaving much room for growth of the dividend in the future.
Yamaha Motor's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. Strong earnings growth means Yamaha Motor has the potential to be a good dividend stock in the future, despite the current payments being at elevated levels. We don't think Yamaha Motor is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Yamaha Motor (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7272
Yamaha Motor
Engages in the land mobility, marine products, robotics, financial services, and others businesses in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.
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