Stock Analysis

PIOLAX (TSE:5988) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥59.00

TSE:5988
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PIOLAX, Inc. (TSE:5988) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥59.00 per share on the 28th of June. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 3.9%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for PIOLAX

PIOLAX's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, PIOLAX was paying out quite a large proportion of both earnings and cash flow, with the dividend being 157% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows certainly exposes the company to cutting the dividend if cash flows were to reduce.

EPS is set to grow by 22.8% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 94% - on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.

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TSE:5988 Historic Dividend March 3rd 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥11.67, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥109.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 25% a year over that time. PIOLAX has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. PIOLAX's EPS has fallen by approximately 11% per year during the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.

PIOLAX's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for PIOLAX that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.