Stock Analysis

Niterra Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:5334) 32% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Earnings

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TSE:5334

Niterra Co., Ltd. (TSE:5334) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 32% share price drop in the last month. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 2.4% over the last twelve months.

Even after such a large drop in price, Niterra may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.5x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 21x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Niterra certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Niterra

TSE:5334 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Niterra.

Is There Any Growth For Niterra?

Niterra's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 31% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 83% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.8% each year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.6% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Niterra is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Niterra's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Niterra's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Niterra that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Niterra. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Niterra might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.