Stock Analysis

Terna S.p.A. (BIT:TRN) Just Released Its Interim Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

BIT:TRN
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As you might know, Terna S.p.A. (BIT:TRN) recently reported its half-year numbers. It was an okay report, and revenues came in at €1.9b, approximately in line with analyst estimates leading up to the results announcement. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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BIT:TRN Earnings and Revenue Growth August 1st 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Terna's 16 analysts is for revenues of €3.96b in 2025. This would reflect a reasonable 4.5% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €3.96b and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.54 in 2025. So we can see that while the consensus made no real change to its revenue estimates, it also no longer provides an earnings per share estimate. This suggests that revenues are what the market is focusing on after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Terna

There's been no real change to the consensus price target of €8.82, with Terna seemingly executing in line with expectations. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Terna, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €10.00 and the most bearish at €7.60 per share. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Terna is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 9.1% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 10% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 1.9% annually. So although Terna is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

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The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their revenue estimates for next year, suggesting that the business is performing in line with expectations. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

At least one of Terna's 16 analysts has provided estimates out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

You still need to take note of risks, for example - Terna has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Terna might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.